MLB Pick: Total Value Play of the Day Saturday

LT Profits Sports Group

Saturday, August 17, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Saturday, Aug. 17, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Each day the LT Profits Sports Group seeks out a total that simply does not add up and therefore offers the most value that day. Here is their Total Value Play of the Day for Saturday.

There could be a somewhat unexpected pitching duel Saturday night when Dallas Keuchel and the Houston Astros (40-81, 21-38 away) pay a visit to Garrett Richards and the Los Angeles Angels (54-67, 30-33 home) in the second game of a three-game weekend series from Angel Stadium in Anaheim, CA at 9:05 ET.

The posted total at Pinnacle Spots is 8 for this contest with the current odds on the ‘under’ set at -109.

The Astros have the worst record in the Major Leagues, but they continued to be thorns in the Angels’ sides by winning the series opener 8-2 on Friday, bringing Houston to 8-6 in all the head-to-head meeting between these teams this season despite the Halos being 14 games ahead of Houston in the American League West standings.

Unfortunately for the Angels, the Astros are the only team in the division that they are ahead of as they are on fourth place and 15½ games behind the first place Texas Rangers, highly disappointing for a team with an enormous payroll that was expected to compete for the division title this year. One bright not lately has been the pitching of tonight’s young starter Richards since being taken out of the bullpen and placed in the starting rotation.

The 25-year old Richards was an unfortunate loser vs. the New York Yankees Monday despite tossing his first Major League Complete Game allowing only two runs on seven hits. Richards has now made four starts since replacing the ineffective Joe Blanton on July 27th and he has allowed three runs or less in all four of them while posting a 2.42 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over 26 innings with just one home run allowed.

The right-hander is facing a Houston lineup that is batting only .228 vs. right-handed pitchers overall this season while averaging 3.74 runs per nine innings against them, and while the Astros are showing a bit of improvement, that average vs. righties has only risen to .238 over the last 10 games.

Now, the southpaw Keuchel is just 5-7 with a 4.97 ERA for the Astros but he did pitch very well in his only start vs. Los Angeles this year and the Angels have been struggling with lefties. Keuchel got the win over the Angels on May 31st after allowing only two runs on six hits in seven innings.

With Albert Pujols disabled and possibly out for the season, the Angels are batting only .236 vs. left-handed pitchers overall this season while averaging 3.87 runs per nine innings against them. Outside on Mike Trout, the rest of the Angel lineup does not exactly strike fear in opposing pitchers right now and last night marked the fourth straight home game that Los Angeles has scored three runs or less.

While neither of these starting pitchers is a household name, look for both to help keep this game relatively low scoring on Saturday.


MLB Pick: Astros, Angels ‘under’ 8 (-109)

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