MLB Pick: Total Value Play of the Day Saturday

LT Profits Sports Group

Saturday, June 1, 2013 4:00 AM GMT

Each day the LT Profits Sports Group seeks out a total that simply does not add up and therefore offers the most value that day. Here is their Total Value Play of the Day for Saturday.

Do not expect many fireworks on Saturday when Jose Quintana and the slumping Chicago White Sox (24-28, 11-17 away) pay a visit to Daniel Straily and the Oakland Athletics (33-24, 16-10 home) in the second game of a three-game series from O.co Coliseum in Oakland, CA at 4:05 ET.

The posted total at Pinnacle Spots is 7½ for this contest with the current odds on the ‘under’ set at a positive +102.

The White Sox has pulled back to the .500 mark after sweeping three games from the lowly Miami Marlins last weekend, but they have since lost four straight games to all to 24-28, first losing three games to their crosstown rivals the Chicago Cubs and then getting shut out 3-0 in the series opener here in Oakland last night. The White Sox have now scored a grand total of six runs in the last four games, and struggling offensively is nothing new for Chicago.

You see, the White Sox are in a virtual tie with the Seattle Mariners for dead last in the American League in team batting average at .238 and they are dead last by themselves in runs scored with 3.52 per game. In fact, Chicago is the only team in the American League with fewer than 200 total runs scored to this point and they are well under at 183. Luckily, the White Sox have gotten good pitching, ranking fifth in the AL with a 3.82 team ERA.

Quintana was not at his best vs. the Cubs on Monday as the four runs he allowed in six innings matched the most runs he has allowed since his first start of the season, but the 24-year-old southpaw still deserves better than his 3-2 record as he has a 3.75 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and is surrendering just a .229 batting average with a nice ratio of 44 strikeouts against 18 walks in 57.2 innings.

This will be the first start ever by Quintana vs. the Athletics, which usually works to the pitcher’s advantage, and he is catching an Oakland lineup that is batting .236 vs. left-handed pitching over the last 10 games.

Straily was supposed to be the next great homegrown pitcher out of the Oakland organization when he first came up, but he may have come up a tad early as he has been inconsistent at the Major League level. However, he may be starting to “get it” as he has sparkled in each of his last two starts, so he may be ready to stat fulfilling his potential.

First he allowed only two hits and did not walk a batter in seven scoreless innings vs. the Texas Rangers two starts back, and the he allowed only one run on four hits and one walk vs. the San Francisco Giants last time out. Like Quintana, Straily is also facing his opponent for the first time ever and he is catching a White Sox lineup batting a dismal .229 and averaging a measly 2.53 runs per nine innings against right-handed pitchers over the last 10 games.

Last night’s result made the ‘under’ 13-6 in the last 19 Oakland games overall and 35-15-1 in the last 51 White Sox road games vs. right-handed starters, and given this pitching matchup expect another ‘under’ on Saturday.

[gameodds]3/228455/238-92-43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

MLB Pick: White Sox, Athletics ‘under’ 7½ (+102)