MLB Pick For The Tremendous Pitchers Duel Between Kershaw vs. Cueto

Friday, June 10, 2016 1:00 PM GMT

The Dodgers vs. Giants is a historical rivalry, and for those making MLB Picks, taking one side or the other is about as difficult as it gets because of how the starting pitchers are performing.

We talk about both hurlers in a minute, but know this, besides these teams truly having no use for each other, when there guy has climbed the mound, they are 11-1 this season.

This makes choices for MLB Picks close to impossible for side and total, however, you can at least trust me as baseball handicapper, with eight straight wins here and sporting 18-10 record against the MLB Odds this seasons.

 

Pitching Matchup - Kershaw vs. Cueto
Starting to run out of superlatives to describe Clayton Kershaw (8-1, 1.46 ERA, 0.65 WHIP). At 28, he is the dominant pitcher of his era and now those who follow the game passionately are starting to think about where he fits among the all-time greats if he stays healthy and has similar numbers to what he has produced throughout his career. While the ERA and WHIP are mind-boggling, what you cannot look past this season are these numbers - 109 strikeouts in 92 2/3 innings with amazingly SIX walks. Against San Francisco, the left-hander is 17-7 with 1.46 ERA and he even better at AT&T Park at 9-3, with miniscule 1.23 ERA.

But Johnny Cueto (9-1. 2.16, 1.05) is hardly chump change and he's regained the brilliance which has made him one of the top starters in baseball. His ability to alter deliveries, throw from various angles and quick pitch hitters has been sensational and he's gotten his confidence back, after not being particularly effective with Kansas City, yet still picking up ring. Cueto has a sick 0.43 ERA in last three outings and at home, he's not permitted a run in 26 1/3 innings.


 

How Does Either Team Score?
This could be the question of the day in baseball. Los Angeles averages 4.2 runs per game and they are actually better on the road at 4.9. In a contest like, one player is likely to have a great impact and you have to consider the most obvious choices like Corey Seager (14 homers), Adrian Gonzalez (10) or Joc Pederson (8). One swing of the bat with a teammate on base could be the difference.

With Hunter Pence out, the Giants ability to score runs is not the same. In his time with San Francisco, they are below .500 when he's not playing, which means others have to step up. Not sure what Buster Posey can add, having not played since last Saturday with nerve irritation in his right thumb. This could leave it to Brandon Belt (.413 OBP) or Brandon Crawford (.336 OBP) to come through with big hit.

 

Betting Odds, History and Bullpen Numbers
The odds have Kershaw and the Dodgers at -163, with the total a ridiculous 5.5 at BetDSI. San Fran has won 14 of the 23 games played the last three years at home, with the total 14-7-2 UNDER. On the surface, the bullpens do not figure to have much work, but they could be very important if game is tied late and the L.A. relievers ERA is quite a bit lower than their counterparts (3.14 vs. 3.98).

 

Game Outcome
While the total is no doubt accurate, one bad pitch or error could send it to Over, thus I will pass. Also, from a value betting perspective, Cueto and Giants are the right choice at +153, nonetheless, this is Kershaw we are talking about and I have a road favorites system on teams batting .225 or less in past 10 games that has the Dodgers winning 82.4 percent of the time (42-9) since 2012.

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Free MLB Pick:  Dodgers -157
Best Line Offered:   at Heritage