MLB Pick: Texas Rangers -113 over Chicago White Sox

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, May 1, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Wednesday, May. 1, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Nick Tepesch of the Rangers is off to a great start as a rookie and is facing a weak offense. Southpaw Chris Sale of the White Sox has great stuff but did not pitch well in Texas last season.

The home team may have some value as a lukewarm favorite despite going up against a very talented pitcher Wednesday night when Chris Sale and the Chicago White Sox (10-15, 3-8 away) pay a visit to Nick Tepesch and the Texas Rangers (17-9, 8-2 home) in the second game of a three-game series from Rangers Ballpark in Arlington, TX at 8:05 ET.

The posted money line at Pinnacle Sports has Texas as a small home favorite for this contest at current odds of -113.

The Rangers improved to a nice 8-2 at home this season with a 10-6 victory in the series opener on Tuesday as the Texas offense is starting to heat up, which is bad news for the rest of the American League.

Texas has been known for its offense in recent years, but the hitting was off to a slow start this season before picking up recently, and as long as that continues, the Rangers will be tough to beat this year given that their pitching staff leads the Major Leagues with a 3.1.4 team ERA!

The rookie Tepesch has been a big part of that as the young right-hander is now 2-1 in four starts with a stellar 2.53 ERA and 1.08 WHIP and a nice ratio of 14 strikeouts against only three walks, and the Rangers as a team have gone 3-1 in his starts. He sparkled in his latest outing where he held the Minnesota Twins to one run and five hits in 6.2 innings without a single walk in a 2-1 win on the road last Thursday.

Now granted, Tepesch has benefitted by facing Seattle twice, Tampa Bay and Minnesota, but he now gets the luxury of facing yet another weak offense tonight! The White Sox are dead last in the American League in both team batting average at 230 and in runs scored at 3.56 per game, and Chicago is hitting a depressing .205 vs. right-handed pitching over the last 10 games.

Now granted, the White Sox are countering with their ace in the All-Star southpaw Sale, who had a breakthrough season a year ago and already has four Quality Starts out of five outings this season. Sale is coming off of another fine effort, albeit vs. the light-hitting Tampa Bay Rays, where he allowed two runs on four hits in seven innings with seven strikeouts on Thursday.

However, as great as Sale was last season when he finished 17-8 with a 3.05 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 192 strikeouts in 192 innings, he did not fare well in his only start in Arlington where he allowed five earned runs in 6.1 innings, and he will obviously need to improve on that tonight given that the White Sox are not giving their pitchers much run support these days.

Unfortunately the Rangers have other ideas as those aforementioned heating up bats are batting .281 overall while averaging a nice 5.60 runs per game over the last 10 games, and Texas has been absolutely pummeling southpaws during this time to the tune of a .315 average and a fat 6.30 runs per nine inning against them!

With that in mind, look for the Rangers to produce enough runs off of the normally tough Sale to improve to 9-2 at home on Wednesday.


MLB Pick: Rangers -113

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