MLB Pick: Take Hot Diamondbacks to Upset Dodgers Tonight

Charles Stark

Friday, May 1, 2015 11:07 AM UTC

Friday, May. 1, 2015 11:07 AM UTC

This is not a marquee matchup between Rubby De La Rosa & Carlos Frias, but at some good plus money on money line the Dbacks are the play here as the head to Los Angeles.

With two pretty evenly matched pitchers going here I am going to back the hotter team in the Dbacks even thought they are underdogs on the MLB odds board. In the last three games they are averaging over 8 runs compared with the Dodgers at just over 5. I understand the Dodgers are overall the better team here but from hits to total bases Arizona is better offensively than the Dodgers in this time span. I like how they are rolling right now and I expect them to continue this today against a subpar pitcher in Frias. In the last three games Arizona is third in the league in batting average and second in on base percentage.

Most Important Pitching Stats for Over-Under Bettors

Who is pitching again?
This is a pretty logical question here because most casual fans don’t know De La Rosa or Frias. De La Rosa comes in with a career ERA of 4.38 and a 1.44 WHIP, not great, but in his last 19 innings of work he has only allowed five earned runs. Frias has spent most his career in the minor leagues with some relief stints here and there for the Dodgers. In his nine year career in the minors he has 4.20 ERA and 1.41 WHIP.

Hotter team right now in my opinion here with Arizona. The line came out with them at around +140, to me that is a pretty good number to grab on a team that could easily win this game, which is what I expect. I’m backing the Dbacks as my upset MLB pick of the day.

MLB Pick: Diamondbacks +143 at BetOnline

comment here