MLB Pick: San Francisco Giants +101 over Milwaukee Brewers

LT Profits Sports Group

Tuesday, April 16, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Tuesday, Apr. 16, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

The Giants have now won six of their last seven games while the Brewers have lost eight of 10, and San Francisco has won the last 16 games started by Barry Zito including post-season.

Two teams heading in opposite directions square off on Tuesday night when the red-hot Barry Zito and the equally hot San Francisco Giants (9-4, 5-3 away) pay a visit to Wily Peralta and the slumping Milwaukee Brewers (3-8, 1-5 home) in the first game of a three-game series from Miller Park in Milwaukee, WI at 8:10 ET.

The posted money line at Pinnacle Sports has San Francisco as the tiniest of underdogs for this contest at current odds of +101.

The defending World Champion San Francisco Giants are off to another fine start this season as they are already in first place in the National League West at 9-4 thanks to six wins in the last seven games.

One difference over recent years is that the Giants are hitting the ball well this year batting .265 as a team, and they have been particularly strong vs. right-handed pitchers, batting .272 while averaging a potent 5.24 runs per nine innings against them. The starting pitching has not been up to the Giants’ normal standards yet though with a collective 3.91 ERA, and San Francisco will once again be tough to beat once the pitching comes around.

One exception though has been Zito, who has gone from being one of the most maligned pitchers in all of baseball through as recently as the first half of last season to now probably being the most reliable starter in the Giant staff. That transformation began last year when the Giants as a team won each of Zito’s last 14 starts including three post-season wins with one each in the NLDS, NLCS and World Series.

Well, Zito has been brilliant while extending that team winning streak in his starts to 16 games with a perfect 2-0 start to 2103 thus far, as he has yet to allow a run and has allowed only 10 hits in 14 innings! On top of that, he now gets to face a slumping Milwaukee offense that had been shut out in the first two games of a series vs. the St. Louis Cardinals this past weekend.

In fact, the Brewers had been on a 32-inning scoreless drought before Ryan Braun homered in the seventh inning on Sunday. The expected lack of run support from a struggling offense vs. a hot pitcher cannot be too pleasing to Brewers starter Peralta, who could probably use some run support.

It is not that Peralta has been awful, as he allowed three runs on six hits in six innings vs. the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field last Tuesday after a much shakier outing in his seasonal debut here at home vs. Colorado, but Peralta is not the type of pitcher that will carry a team on his back without some help from his offense. He needs to work on his command as he had 11 walks in 29 innings in his rookie season last year and he has already issued five walks in 12 innings this year.

Keep in mind also that since winning on opening day, the Brewers have lost eight of their last 10 contests. Considering the forms of both the starting pitchers and the teams here, Zito and the Giants look to be auto-plays as underdogs on Tuesday.


MLB Pick: Giants +101

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