What To Expect From The San Diego Padres After Manny Machado's Signing

Friday, February 22, 2019 6:18 PM UTC

Friday, Feb. 22, 2019 6:18 PM UTC

The Padres made the biggest free agency splash of any team this winter by inking Manny Machado to a 10-year and $300 million deal. Was that a smart long term move, or one that is even going to pay off in the short term?

<h2 style="text-align:center;"><strong>World Series Odds: (+4000)</strong></h2><h2 style="text-align:center;"><strong>National League Pennant Odds: (+2000)</strong></h2><h2 style="text-align:center;"><strong>Season Win Total: (OTB)</strong></h2><p> </p><h2><strong>What Can Machado Do For San Diego?</strong></h2><p>Because of the move to sign Machado, the Padres’ season win total is off the board right now. It opened at 66, but I’m sure that will go way up once they put the odds back on the board.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;It's OFFICIAL! The &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/Padres?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#Padres&lt;/a&gt; have signed Manny Machado to a 10-year contract through the 2028 season. Welcome to San Diego, Manny! &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/zr5ZnD82Sy\"&gt;https://t.co/zr5ZnD82Sy&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/F8jImsTziD\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/F8jImsTziD&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— San Diego Padres (@Padres) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/Padres/status/1098726753130803200?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;February 21, 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><p>The Padres, who have been serious about winning, well, never, have signaled with this move that they are ready to try to win games, or at least ready to improve their attendance numbers. San Diego has the second worst record of any team over the last 10 seasons, but who I am to say that they aren’t ready for a turnaround after not spending any money over that period.</p><p>Machado does a couple things for the Friars. It solidifies their need for an everyday third baseman and it gives them a stellar top of the order bat. Machado will likely hit second or third in the order and be a key run producer. He should hit in front of Wil Myers, Hunter Renfroe, and Eric Hosmer, making this top half of the lineup pretty solid if everyone stays healthy all season.</p><p>However, these long mega-deals hardly every work out for the team, so one has to wonder whether the Padres made this move because they think Machado will actually be still worth $30 million a year eight or nine years from now.</p><p>We’ve seen it from Alex Rodriguez, Albert Pujols, Robinson Cano, and Prince Fielder all fall off in the latter years of their mega contracts. That probably makes this long term move more of a short term gain type of signing.</p><p style="text-align:center;"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/mlb/" target="_blank">Click Here For SBR's Free MLB Betting Page: Picks, Previews &amp; More!</a></p><p> </p><h2><strong>Non-Machado Parts</strong></h2><p>As a team, Renfroe and Myers both missed significant time last season and with the signing of Ian Kinsler, they aren’t exactly the youngest team either. One or two long stints on the disabled list could put the Padres right back into rebuilding and not playoff contention.</p><p>They do have a very nice young infielder though in Luis Urias. The young shortstop had a brief stint in the majors last season and if he can turn into an everyday player for 2019, the Padres’ infield is looking pretty good as well.</p><p>On the pitching side of things, the Padres are very young and their rotation to start the season will almost surely not be the rotation they finish the season with.</p><p>Joey Lucchesi is a number two starter that serves as the Padres’ ace and after him Robbie Erlin is a solid number three playing as a number two. However, Bryan Mitchell, Eric Lauer and Luis Perdomo will likely round out their rotation, but if they struggle or get hurt, the Padres could look to the minors to start to bring up some of their young arms.</p><p>Jacob Nix got some run with the big club last season, but it’s guys that would be making their major league debuts to keep an eye on in Spring Training. Chris Paddack is probably their most ready Triple-A starter right now and he could eventually take over a spot in the big club’s rotation eventually. The same could be said about Cal Quantrill or Logan Allen. Especially Allen, who is probably the highest upside pitcher in the Padres’ system right now.</p><p>All in all, though, the signing of Machado isn’t going to make this team a contender this season. Their future odds are inflated a little right now and I suspect that when their season win total gets put back on the board, it will be overvalued too.</p><p style="text-align:center;"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/mlb-baseball/" target="_blank">Click Here For Live Odds On Pre-Season MLB From Top Rated Sportsbooks</a></p><p> </p><p> </p>
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