MLB Pick: Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Game 3 Final Score Predictions

Kevin Stott

Sunday, April 10, 2016 1:34 PM GMT

Sunday, Apr. 10, 2016 1:34 PM GMT

Hanley Ramírez and the Boston Red Sox wrap up their 3-game series with Edwin Encarnacion and the Toronto Blue Jays at the Rogers Centre in Toronto on Sunday afternoon. My MLB pick & more inside. 

Odds Overview
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays [Sunday 21:07] (NESN, MLB Network, MLB Extra Innings, Directv 213, Directv 628 (US); SNET, MLB Network (CAN), 1:07 p.m. EDT/10:07 a.m. PDT): The Boston Red Sox are scheduled to send right-hander Steven Wright to the mound on Sunday afternoon to face righty Marco Estrada and the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 3 of this MLB Opening Week 3-game AL East series at the Rogers Centre in Toronto—formerly known as the SkyDome.

Offshore Oddsmakers in Antigua on Saturday have opened up Estrada and the host Blue Jays up as -138 favorites on the MLB odds boards with the visiting Red Sox priced at +128 as the Road dogs (Sportsbetting.ag) in Ontario with the game’s Total (Runs) set at 9½ Over -115 (Sportsbetting.ag). David Ortiz was listed as Doubtful for this game and was not in the starting Lineup for Boston on Saturday.

 

Boston Red Sox
Heading into Game 2 of this 3-game series in Toronto on Saturday, the Boston Red Sox (2-1, 20 RS-16 RA) were off to a decent start but were underdogs (-122, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) against the Blue Jays RA Dickey on Saturday with Rick Porcello getting the start for the Red Sox. Boston (14/1 to win World Series, Ladbrokes) and Manager John Farrell have done pretty well against Toronto of late, with Friday’s Game 1 win, 8-7, coming in typical Red Sox-rally fashion. The Blue Jays led 6-2 at the end of 4 Innings after exploding for a 6-spot in their bottom half of the frame, but the Carmines answered with 4 in the Top of the 6th and 2 more in the Top of the 7th to earn the victory against a now suspect Toronto Bullpen.

In Game 1 on Friday, Farrell had a Starting Lineup of: RF Mookie Betts, 2B Dustin Pedroia, 22 Xander Bogaerts, DH David Ortiz, 1B Hanley Ramírez, 3B Travis Shaw, LF Brock Holt, C Ryan Hanigan, CF Jackie Bradley Jr. with Joe Kelly getting the start. Bogaerts went 3-for-5 with 3 Runs, Ortiz and Ramírez (60/1 to win MLB Home Run Title, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) each had 2 Hits and Holt bashed a Grand Slam and a Double and had 5 RBI and was pretty much the reason Boston ended up winning at least from an Offensive perspective.

The Red Sox closed as big +148 Underdogs in the game and the Total went well over (+6½ runs) the posted Total (Runs) of 8½. But without clutch hitter and key cog Ortiz (Doubtful) in the Starting Lineup here on Sunday, Boston is a very different team on Offense and the 40-year-old Big Papi’s presence may be worth ½ a Run.

 

Toronto Blue Jays
The defending AL East champion Toronto Blue Jays (2-3, 22 RF-22 RA) woke up Saturday and found themselves in last place in the division, but the Calendar on the Wall still says April and Winter weather is still affecting MLB games so actually using the Energy worrying about a 2-3 start in the AL East on April 9 is like worrying about buying a new snow shovel in Maine on the Fourth of July, brother. It’s earlier than early and the MLB Regular Season will take us all the way up until the US Presidential Election (Nov. 8), so there are over 150 games left to be played and the months of May, June, July, August, September and October to all negotiate.

In the Game 1 Loss on Friday, Blue Jays (13/1 to win World Series, PaddyPower) Manager John Gibbons put out powerful-looking Starting Lineup (Batting Order) of: CF Kevin Pillar, DH Josh Donaldson, RF José Bautista, 1B Edwin Encarnacion, SS Troy Tulowitzki, LF Michael Saunders, C Russell Martin, 2B Ryan Goins, 3B Darwin Barney, C Josh Thole with Marcus Stroman getting the Start for the Bluebirds. Saunders and Barney were the only Blue Jays with 2 Hits—both had 2 Singles—while reigning AL MVP Donaldson (20/1 to win MLB Home Run Title, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) smashed a Grand Slam.

One big reason Toronto lost their Home Opener was the lousy production of sluggers Encarnacion (15/1 to win MLB Home Run Title, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook), Bautista (25/1 to win MLB Home Run Title on the Futures, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) and Tulowitzki (30/1 to win MLB Home Run Title, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) who went a combined 1-for-11 with the only Hit coming from Encarnacion who had an RBI Single.

 

Series Trends, Weather Forecast, Pitchers Report Card, Umpires, General Thoughts, Game Pick
In the L11 meetings in this series, the Red Sox are 8-3 against Toronto (heading into Saturday) including a 5-2 mark over the L7 here at the Rogers Centre after Friday’s Game 1 win. The Under is now 7-4-1 in the L12 in this series in Toronto with Friday’s Over and the Over is an awakening 6-1-3 in the L10 Blue Jays games here at Home at the domed Rogers Centre so with the Weather not being a factor here with the Rogers Centre being a domed stadium, with unproven knuckleballer and 5th-Starter Steven Wright scheduled to go and the Blue Jays Bullpen having so much trouble over the L3 games (heading into Saturday), the Over may be worth a shot here, but beware with RHP Marco Estrada (13-8, 3.13 ERA) getting the Start for the hosts. Estrada was one of the Blue Jays best and most reliable Starters last season, but Gibbons has held him off to the 5th spot in his Rotation as he suffered Back Soreness and missed much of Spring Training.

Luckily for Estrada, this game will be played in a Dome. The Red Sox veteran lefty slugger Ortiz has homered 2 times in 9 AB (4 RBI) vs. Estrada but it looks like he won’t be in the Boston Starting Lineup while Ramirez has just 3 AB vs him (.333) and paunchy Pablo Sandoval is 0-for-10 lifetime against Estrada. In 27 lifetime ABs vs projected starter Wright, Boston has done nothing (0 RBI), so the man’s knuckler must have been knuckling that meeting. But don’t expect Wright to breeze through the Toronto lineup so easily this time, especially if the Red Sox end up winning Game 2 (in progress, tied 4-4 in B4) on Saturday (Porcello-Dickey).

The Blue Jays have been very dominating at Home of late, going 45-21 in their L66 games at Home (68.2%) and 31-16 in their L47 games on AstroTurf (66.0%). But Boston has been a real thorn in Toronto’s side here at the (former) SkyDome, and the Blue Jays Bullpen is a big question mark heading in here. This game should be close throughout, with Toronto expecting a solid start from Estrada but closely watching his (sore) Back. But logic says Estrada doesn’t come out and go 6 (Innings) strong because of that Back Soreness and because he missed the majority of Spring Training, meaning that we may see the Blue Jays suspect Bullpen for 3 or more Innings.

And with Wright’s knuckler possibly getting banged around by some of the elite (and maybe bitter) sluggers in the Toronto lineup, it seems at least 10 runs should be scored here on Sunday with the dome’s controlled-temperatures helping (warmer) hitting hands immensely and worth at least 1 Run herself (Are Domes Female?) in the context of the Total.

The L9 games between these two teams (heading into Saturday) have seen a total of 108 Runs—or and average of 12.0 rpg (Runs Per Game), so with these Pitchers and Toronto possibly desperate, Big Papi not getting 4-5 Plate Appearances might not even matter with the Total. Umpires: Home Plate—Hunter Wendelstedt, First Base—Tripp Gibson, Second Base—Clint Fagan, Third Base—Jerry Layne. My final MLB pick is to back the over at 9.5 runs. 

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MLB Pick: Over 9½
Predicted Final Score: Blue Jays 6 Red Sox 5
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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