MLB Pick: Oakland Athletics, Boston Red Sox ‘under’ 9

LT Profits Sports Group

Tuesday, April 23, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Tuesday, Apr. 23, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

The ageless Bartolo Colon is a perfect three for three in Quality Starts for the Athletics so far while Alfredo Aceves pitched five scoreless innings last time out, so go ‘under’ Tuesday.

Look for a lower scoring game than the posted total indicates Tuesday night when Bartolo Colon and the Oakland Athletics (12-8, 6-4 away) pay a visit to Alfredo Aceves and the Boston Red Sox (13-6, 6-4 home) in the second game of a three-game series from Fenway Park in Boston, MA at 6:35 ET.

The posted total at Bookmaker Sportsbook is 9 for this contest with the current odds on the ‘under’ set at -115.

We supported the ‘under’ in the opening game of this series on Monday, but we were way off base as the Red Sox prevailed in a 9-6 shootout. Undaunted, we are coming right back with the ‘under’ again this evening.

Colon may not be the flame-thrower that he used to be, but he may be a better pitcher because of it as he was quite serviceable in his first season with Oakland last year, going 10-9 with a nice 3.43 ERA in 24 starts covering 152.1 innings. Colon made his last start in August of last year though because he was then suspended 50 games for testosterone use.

However, he has come back just as strong this season as the 90.1 MPH Colon’s fastball is averaging this year is right on par with the 90.2 MPH average in 2012, and when you combine that with perfect control, you get a 2-0 record in three starts so far with a 3.32 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and not a single walk in 19 innings. Yes it is early, but the veteran Colon’s 3.33 FIP so far is the best of an otherwise young Oakland staff.

Colon has faced the Red Sox three times in the last two seasons after not facing them since 2005 prior to that, and he allowed two earned runs or less in all three of those outings including one start last year where he surrendered only one earned run on five hits in six innings. Should Colon be in need of relief, the Oakland bullpen is ranked fourth in the American League with a 2.58 ERA while yielding an opponents’ batting average of just .210.

As for Aceves, he has been a jack of all trades for the Boston pitching staff as he has served as a starter, long reliever, setup man and closer at various stages of his Red Sox career, and he is currently filling the rotation spot of the disabled John Lackey. Now, Aceves’ line score vs. the Cleveland Indians last time out may look rather ordinary, as he was charged with three runs on seven hits in five innings, but that is rather deceptive.

You see, Aceves was actually quite masterful though five scoreless innings, but he then hit a wall while not retiring any of the four batters he faced in the sixth inning and reaching a season-high pitch count of 106. He could get an earlier hook at the first sign of fatigue tonight as the Boston bullpen has been better as of late than it was earlier in the year, posting a 2.84 ERA while yielding a paltry .198 batting average over the last 10 games.

Aceves is facing an Oakland lineup that has slumped to just a .189 batting average vs. right-handed pitchers over the past 10 games, so go ‘under’ in Fenway on Monday.


MLB Pick: Athletics, Red Sox ‘under’ 9 (-115)

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