Restocked Yankees Mean Business, But What About Win Total?

Wednesday, March 6, 2019 8:53 PM UTC

Wednesday, Mar. 6, 2019 8:53 PM UTC

The Yankees, who added a ton of new talent to an already young and dynamic roster, are the odds-on favorites to win it all. If they stay healthy, it’s World Series or bust.

<h2 style="text-align:center;">New York Yankees 2019 Preview</h2><p style="text-align:center;"><strong>World Series Odds: +600 (<a href=";book=BetOnline" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">BetOnline</a>)<br />American League Pennant Odds: +275<br />Season Win Total: 96.5</strong></p><p>After watching divisional rival Boston win the 2018 World Series after signing J.D. Martinez to a huge contract last winter, the Yankees saw this as an opportunity to out-spend the competition this time around. They faced a lot of injuries last season, so quality depth was a huge priority heading in to 2019.</p><p>The first order of business was top-end starting pitching, so the Yankees went out and got James Paxton from the Mariners in exchange for one of the Yankees’ best farm prospects, lefty Justus Sheffield. “Big Maple” is coming off a huge season where he struck out 208 batters and threw a no-hitter.</p><p>The Yankees weren’t done there either. They snagged Troy Tulowitzki in January on a league minimum deal thanks to the Blue Jays releasing him with $38 million left on his contract. Obviously his health is the top concern, but he will get plenty of days off on this deep Yankees club, because New York also signed D.J. LeMahieu to serve as their backup infielder.</p><p>LeMahieu has spent the last several seasons playing second base in Colorado, but if Tulowitzki needs a break or is injured, Gleyber Torres can easily slide over to shortstop, while LeMahieu gives the Yankees a starting caliber infielder and bat off the bench. LeMahieu should also be the primary backup to Miguel Andujar.</p><p> </p><h2>Severino Setback</h2><p>The acquisition of Paxton is likely even more important in light of recent events. Luis Severino, the Yankees’ ace and who Paxton should be following at the top of the rotation, suffered a shoulder injury, which all but puts him out of consideration to start on Opening Day.</p><p>Severino has been shut down for two weeks after an MRI showed inflammation in his rotator cuff. Injuries like this are obviously tough for pitchers, but after feeling some discomfort warming up for a spring training start, Severino was scratched and the MRI later revealed the extent of the damage.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Luis Severino says the strength is still the same in his shoulder, and for that reason he didn't think the news post-MRI of his shoulder injury wouldn't be too bad. He also is thankful that if this was going to happen that it happened in spring training, and not later in year&lt;/p&gt;— Coley Harvey (@ColeyHarvey) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;March 6, 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><p>However, assuming this is just a minor setback for the Yankees, and Severino can come back soon after the March 28 opener, the Yankees’ pitching depth is looking very nice with Paxton now near the top.</p><p>Masahiro Tanaka and J.A. Happ are frontline starting pitchers, but with all the Yankees’ pitching depth, they are some of the best third and fourth starters in the entire league. Domingo German is no slouch either out of the fifth spot. This makes the Severino injury nothing to worry about at this point, as long as it doesn’t linger into the season too much.</p><p> </p><h2>Season Wins Outlook</h2><p>At this point, it’s hard to argue against the "over" on the Yankees, but <a href="" title="Free MLB Picks">there are some things holding me back</a>. The Red Sox are still just as dangerous as the Yankees and the battles those two will have over the course of the season should be legendary.</p><p>Furthermore, the Rays are not bad either, and with a win total of 84.5 they should be in the mix for the final Wild Card slot in the AL this season. That’s 36 games against two playoff teams. Assuming the Yankees go just over .500 at 19-17 against the Rays and Red Sox, that leaves 126 games where the Yankees have to have a win percentage of roughly 62% <a href="" title="MLB Odds Board">to make the "over."</a> With six or seven games against teams like the Indians, Astros and A’s, you see the margin for error slimming.</p><p>That’s why I can’t trust the Yankees. Another prolonged injury to Aaron Judge or another player of his magnitude puts the whole thing at risk. I’d rather bet on them at 6/1 to win the World Series at this point.</p><p><strong>Season Win Total Pick: </strong>No Play</p>
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