MLB Pick: ML Betting System Backs Cubs -122 Over Diamondbacks

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, May 23, 2015 5:26 PM GMT

Our MLB handicapping professional provides us with a betting article on Saturday’s game between the Cubs & Diamondbacks. He also concludes this piece with a money line MLB pick.

Cubs and Diamondbacks in the Desert
The Arizona Diamondbacks (20-21) will host the Chicago Cubs (23-18) on Saturday night at 10:10 ET. According to the MLB betting odds at GTBets, the Cubs are a -122 money line favorite, and the posted total is 8.5. Tonight will be the second of a three game series between these clubs.

 

Series Opener Recap
Arizona won the series opener on Friday in dramatic fashion with a 5-4 win that lasted thirteen innings. The Cubs scored two runs in the top of the tenth to take a 4-2 lead, and then Arizona tied it in the bottom half of the inning on a two out two run homer by Paul Goldschmidt. The Diamondbacks Nick Ahmed singled home the winning run in the bottom of the thirteenth, and Arizona won their fifth game in a row. The Cubs saw their modest two game win streak come to an end, and are now 8-3 in the last eleven games.

 

Starting Pitchers
The Cubs Jake Arrieta will make his ninth start of the season for the Cubs on Saturday. He’s displayed terrific form during his previous three starts, posting a 2.66 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, and a 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Cubs have gone 5-0-3 under the total in those eight starts by Arrieta.

Arizona will send right-hander Rubby De La Rosa to the mound tonight. De La Rosa is 3-0 in his last three team starts with a stellar 2.35 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, and a 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio.

MLB Picks of the Day: Saturday's Top-Value Money Line Plays on Offer

MLB Money Line Betting Angle
Each of these starting pitchers has made eight starts in 2015. The Cubs Jake Arrieta has posted a 2.77 ERA in those outings, and Arizona’s Rubby De La Rosa enters tonight with a 4.08 ERA. The Cubs have a .245 team batting average during their first forty one games of the season. The combination of statistical factors for tonight’s game qualifies as a highly profitable money line betting system that I’ll utilize when making my MLB picks on Saturday.

Any National League road team (Cubs) which is +125 to -125 on the money line, hitting .255 or less as a team, and has a starting pitcher (Arrieta) with an ERA of 3.00 or less, versus a National League opponent that has a starting pitcher (De La Rosa) with an ERA of 3.70 to 4.20, resulted in that road team going 65-32 (67%) since the start of the 1997 MLB campaign.

MLB Pick: Play the Cubs -122 on the money line at GTBets.