MLB Pick: Kansas City Royals, Atlanta Braves ‘under’ 7

LT Profits Sports Group

Tuesday, April 16, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Tuesday, Apr. 16, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Kris Medlen has been a godsend since the Braves put him back in the rotation last season while Jeremy Guthrie has been a different pitcher since the Royals rescued him from Colorado.

Do not look for many fireworks in an interleague clash on Tuesday night as Jeremy Guthrie and the Kansas City Royals (7-5, 3-3 away) pay a visit to Kris Medlen and the Atlanta Braves (11-1, 5-1 home) in the first game of a two-game series from Turner Field in Atlanta, GA at 7:10 ET.

The posted total at 5 Dimes is 7 or this contest with the current odds on the ‘under’ set at -110.

The Braves have now won nine games in a row after going into Washington and sweeping a three-game series from the Nationals this past weekend, and as is usually the case with Atlanta, its success has been fueled by pitching as it leads the Major Leagues with a sparkling 1.82 team ERA with the starting pitchers owning a cumulative 2.06 ERA.

Tonight’s starting pitcher Kris Medlen entered the starting rotation for the Braves last July and Atlanta as a team proceeded to go 12-0 in all of his regular season starts. Medlen was phenomenal while going 10-1 over the entire season including his relief work where he obviously suffered his only loss, as he finished with a spiffy 1.57 ERA and 0.91 WHIP over 138.0 inning with a scintillating ratio of 120 strikeouts against only 20 walks.

Oddly enough, following a season in which the Braves went undefeated in games that Medlen started and in a current season where they are 11-1 overall, it was Medlen that took the loss although it was through no fault of his own as he was outpitched by Cliff Lee in a 2-0 loss to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Medlen then did not allow a single earned run through seven innings vs. the Miami Marlins in his second start, so it appears so far that last year was indeed a breakout season and not a fluke, and that Medlen should be tough for many years to come. He also has an added advantage here of facing an American League lineup that is unfamiliar with him, a situation that more often than not favors the pitcher.

The Royals counter with Jeremy Guthrie, who has relished his return to the American League. Guthrie was struggling badly in the altitude while with the Colorado Rockies last year when Kansas City acquired him around midseason, and the return to sea level may have turned out to save his career as Guthrie went 5-3 with a very nice 3.16 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 14 starts covering 91 innings for the Royals.

Guthrie became a free agent after the season but the Royals were so impressed that they resigned him, and he is off to another good start this year at 2-0 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.03 WHIP with 11 strikeouts vs. two walks through 12.2 innings. He did not face the Braves while he was a member of the Rockies, so that means the Atlanta hitters are in the same position as the Kansas City hitters are in terms of unfamiliarity with the opposing pitcher.

On top of all this, the Atlanta bullpen leads the majors with a 1.30 ERA while the Kansas City bullpen is ranked sixth in the American League with a good 2.45 ERA, so let us go ‘under’ in Atlanta on Tuesday.


MLB Pick: Royals, Braves ‘under’ 7 (-110)

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