MLB Pick on Indians, White Sox to Stay ‘under’ Yet Again

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, May 20, 2015 5:41 PM UTC

Wednesday, May. 20, 2015 5:41 PM UTC

Each day the LT Profits Sports Group seeks out a total that simply does not add up and therefore offers the most value that day. Here is their Total Value Play of the Day for Wednesday.


After a couple of very low scoring games to begin this series, look for another ‘under’ Wednesday night when right-hander Shaun Marcum and the Cleveland Indians (15-23, 9-11 away) again pay a visit to southpaw Carlos Rodon and the Chicago White Sox (18-18, 11-6 home) for the third game of a four-game series from U.S Cellular Field in Chicago, IL at 8:10 ET in a game available on SportsTime Ohio.

The posted total at Pinnacle Sports is 8 for this contest with the current odds on the ‘under’ set at -111.

Offense Anyone?
This posted total of 8 is actually higher than the total amount of runs these teams have combined for in the first two games of this series, which is seven! And the White Sox needed 10 innings to prevail 2-1 in the series opener Monday in what was a great pitching duel as expected, with the unlucky Corey Kluber working nine innings for the Tribe and Chris Sale working eight innings for the White Sox but neither factoring in the decision.

That made the White Sox winning MLB picks in six straight games, but the Indians put an end to the winning streak with a 3-1 triumph last night with Trevor Bauer (one earned run allowed in 7.1 innings) out-dueling Jose Quintana (two runs in seven innings). The White Sox are fourth in the American League Central and 5½ games behind the first place Kansas City Royals, while the Indians sit fifth and last, 9½ games out of first and four games behind the White Sox.

Prized Prospect on the Mound
Chicago is sending one of the best pitching prospects in baseball to the mound in 22-year-old Carlos Rodon, who is making his third Major League start and sixth appearance overall less than one year after being the third overall pick of the 2014 MLB Draft out of North Carolina State. The southpaw has a blazing fastball that has reached 98 MPH and a biting slider that has reached 91 MPH combined with a changeup that averages 84 MPH, making him tough to hit when he is on.

Unfortunately Rodon still probably lacks the command that you would expect from a Major Leaguer, and he has already given us glimpses of both his greatness and his wildness. After making three relief appearances to begin his big league career, he had a good first start holding the Cincinnati Reds to two runs on four hits with eight strikeouts in six innings, although he also walked four.

Then his second start did not go so well as the Oakland A’s reached him for five earned runs on five hits plus six walks in only four innings last Friday, although he did strike out five. Rodon has a chance to succeed tonight though because he is facing a Cleveland lineup batting just .221 vs. left-handed pitchers on the road this year while averaging 3.36 runs per game against them.

First Major League Start since 2013
This is a matchup of young vs. old as the Indians counter with the veteran Marcum, who is making his first Major League start since 2013 as he missed all of last season following thoracic outlet surgery to correct numbness in his pitching hand. Marcum had a good spring training and allowed one run on three hits in five relief innings for Cleveland before being sent down to Triple-A Columbus.

He continued to pitch well there also posting a 1.36 ERA, prompting this recall to make his first start in two years. And it would be great if Marcum again shows the form he had vs. the White Sox before this injury, as he is 4-0 in six career starts vs. Chicago with a 1.99 ERA, 0.79 WHIP and a .162 batting average allowed with 31 strikeouts vs. just nine walks in 40.2 innings.

It helps that the 33-year-old is facing a White Sox lineup slumping vs. right-handed pitchers right now batting .233 against them while averaging 3.35 runs over the last five games.

Amazing ‘under’ Head-to-Head Run
Finally, this has been one of the more extreme ‘under’ head-to-head series you will ever see as it now stands at 20-3 in the last 23 meetings after the two ‘unders’ to begin this series!

We see no reason to try and buck that amazing angle here, so go ‘under’ again when Cleveland visits the Chicago White Sox at U.S Cellular Field on Wednesday.

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MLB Pick: Indians, White Sox ‘under’ 8 (-111)

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