MLB Pick: Great Value In Total Odds In Orioles vs. Rangers

Ian Cameron

Saturday, April 16, 2016 1:00 PM UTC

Saturday, Apr. 16, 2016 1:00 PM UTC

Our Sports handicapper provides a betting preview of tonight's AL matchup between the Baltimore Orioles and Texas Rangers, so join us in finding the best MLB pick for this exciting game.

Two hot lineups and two suspect starters should equal runs in bunches tonight in Arlington when the Baltimore Orioles face the Texas Rangers. Baltimore has piled up 53 runs in their last 9 games while Texas has cranked out 28 runs in their last 5 games.

Yovani Gallardo faces his former team tonight taking the mound for the Orioles and he struggled in the spring as he battled injury and had some question marks entering the season. Things went well for him in his first start against the light hitting Minnesota Twins but it was a much different story for the veteran in his most recent start at Fenway Park against Boston where he got hammered for 5 runs on 7 hits in 5 innings of work.

Gallardo has averaged more than 17 pitches per inning in each of his first two starts which indicates to me that he is having his fair share of stressful innings with runners on base routinely and that is a recipe for potential disaster tonight in Texas against a strong Rangers lineup and a ballpark that can certainly lead to some crooked numbers on the scoreboard if a pitcher is forced to pitch his way out of trouble in many innings. The fact these Texas hitters should be very familiar with Gallardo should be a benefit to them at the plate tonight. 

On the flip side, Colby Lewis will take the mound for Texas who has a lifetime 5.14 ERA pitching in this ballpark and he has struggled mightily in recent outings against the Orioles as he has given up 5+ runs in three straight starts against Baltimore dating back to 2012. A trio of Orioles Chris Davis, Manny Machado and J.J. Hardy are all hitting greater than .300 against Lewis with strong numbers against the Rangers starter and I would expect this very potent Orioles lineup which is the clear strength of this team in 2016 to have another very productive night at the plate.

Last night’s game between the Orioles and Rangers flew Over the total in an 11-5 Baltimore win and both bullpens have shown cracks in the armor lately which should offer up the chance for some late runs to help the cause. I expect a real slugfest to develop once again between these two teams and will side with this game going up and Over the MLB Odds on the total tonight, so we will make that our MLB Pick for this Saturday.

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MLB Pick:  Rangers Over 9½ -125
Best Line Offered:  at YouWager

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