MLB Pick: Fade Visiting Marlins vs. Padres -150

Jeff Grant

Thursday, May 8, 2014 1:18 PM GMT

The Miami Marlins have really struggled on the road in the early going this season, which provides the San Diego Padres some value in the series opener Thursday night. Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting lines for this National League matchup at Petco Park.

Roadhouse Blues
Miami went 8-1 on its recently completed nine-game homestand, but the club has dropped 10 of 12 in a pair of six-game road trips to start the 2014 campaign.

The Marlins have compiled a 4.66 ERA on the road, which is last in the NL entering this series, while it ranks 27th in the league with a .215 average away from Marlins Park.

It’s important to point out that the franchise has gone 6-4 against teams with a losing record this season.


A Struggle at the Plate
San Diego has dropped six of its last eight games due to the offense batting just .190 and scoring 16 runs over that span.  

The Padres have been shut out six times already this season, while they’ve played 24 games decided by two or fewer runs—the most in the Majors.

MLB handicappers will find that the Friars have produced a 20-13 record as home favorites of -125 to -150 since the start of the 2012 campaign.


Turner
Marlins' starting pitcher Jacob Turner (0-0, 9.90 ERA) has yet to earn a decision this season, as he comes off a 9-7 home defeat to the Los Angeles Dodgers last time out—giving up a season-high six runs on nine hits over four frames.

The right-hander has compiled a 0-9 record and 3.96 ERA in 15 career outings on the road, with opposing hitters batting .254 against him.
Turner went the distance in a 7-1 home victory over San Diego in his only career start against them on June 29 of last season.


Kennedy
Padres' starting pitcher Ian Kennedy (2-4, 3.43 ERA) was saddled with a 4-3 home loss against the Arizona Diamondbacks last time out, as he allowed three runs and a season-high 11 hits in five innings of work.

The right-hander has gone 0-4 with a 5.09 ERA in four home outings this season—issuing five walks and striking out 25 batters in 23 combined frames.

In five lifetime efforts versus the Marlins, Kennedy is 3-1 with a 3.52 ERA.


Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Padres as one of their MLB picks, as the Marlins have gone 3-8 in their last 11 road games in this series.

[gameodds]3/263625/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

MLB Pick: San Diego Padres -150