MLB Pick: Cardinals' Exhaustion Provides Cubs Value

Jeff Grant

Monday, May 12, 2014 12:46 PM UTC

Monday, May. 12, 2014 12:46 PM UTC

The St. Louis Cardinals are likely worn down from all their quick turnaround games in recent weeks, which provides a lot of value in backing the Chicago Cubs in the series opener Monday night. Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this National League Central matchup at Busch Stadium.

Trouble at the Plate
Chicago suffered a three-game road sweep against the Atlanta Braves over the weekend—scoring just four combined runs in that span.

The Cubs are batting a MLB-worst .195 with runners in scoring position this season, but they’ve still managed to split their first six games against the Cardinals, with each club winning two of three at home.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the team is 44-53 versus left-handed starters, with the 'under' going 54-37 in that situation.

Returning Home
St. Louis finished a game under .500 on its recently completed nine-game road trip, which ended with a 6-5 victory over the Pittsburgh Pirates as -112 favorites on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball.

Manager Mike Matheny isn’t too happy that his roster is being featured on the primetime broadcast three times in a four-week span, but the Red Birds will play 19 of its next 22 games at home.

MLB handicappers will find that the Cardinals are 5-13 after a win this season, as they attempt to win consecutive games for just the third time since mid-April.

Cubs' starting pitcher Travis Wood (2-4, 4.75 ERA) has alternated wins and losses over his last five efforts, as he looks to bounce back from a 8-3 road defeat to the Chicago White Sox last time out.

The left-hander has gone 0-3 with a 8.80 ERA in three road outings, with opposing hitters batting .371 against him.

Wood has compiled a 2-3 record and 4.41 ERA versus the Cardinals since landing in the Windy City.

Tyler Lyons (0-2, 3.43 ERA) will be making his sixth appearance (fourth start) of the season for the Cardinals, as he didn’t earn a decision in a 2-1 road defeat to the Atlanta Braves last time out.

The right-hander is 0-1 with a 5.63 ERA in two home outings (one start)—issuing a single walk and striking out seven batters in eight combined frames.

Lyons has thrown just a single inning of scoreless relief in his career against the Cubs.

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Cubs as one of their MLB picks, as the Cardinals have dropped eight of Lyons’ last nine starts overall.

Free MLB Pick
: Chicago Cubs +155

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