MLB Pick on Blue Jays, Yankees ‘under’ in the Bronx Thursday

LT Profits Sports Group

Thursday, April 9, 2015 6:30 PM UTC

Thursday, Apr. 9, 2015 6:30 PM UTC

Each day the LT Profits Sports Group seeks out a total that simply does not add up and therefore offers the most value that day. Here is their Total Value Play of the Day for Thursday.


A cold, raw night may hurt the scoring in a battle of southpaws Thursday night when rookie Daniel Norris and the Toronto Blue Jays (1-1, 1-1 away) pay a visit to veteran C.C. Sabathia and the New York Yankees (1-1, 1-1 home) at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, NY at 7:05 ET in a game available on YES.

The posted total at Pinnacle Sports is 7 for this contest with the current odds on the ‘under’ set at a positive +103.

Not Much Scoring in Series So Far
These teams have split the first two games of this series with each game producing exactly seven total runs. The Blue Jays did not make the Yankee Faithful very happy on opening day by emerging as winning MLB picks 6-1 here in the Bronx on Monday behind Drew Hutchison, as Toronto reached Yankees’ ace Masahiro Tanaka for five runs (four earned) in four innings, but the two teams still combined for only nine hits with the Blue Jays having six of them.

Then after a day off Tuesday, the Yankees evened up this series with a 4-3 win on Wednesday as they overcame a 3-1 deficit with a three-run eighth inning. Toronto starter R.A. Dickey only allowed one run on four hits in 6.1 innings before New York got to the Blue Jays bullpen, making a winner out of Dellin Betances and setting up Andrew Miller for his first save in a Yankee uniform.

Impressive Rookie
The rookie southpaw Norris made three minor league stops last season and he finished a combined 12-2 with a 2.53 ERA with an impressive 163 strikeouts in 124.1 innings vs. a manageable 43 walks and only seven home runs allowed. The youngster then cracked the Toronto starting rotation by going 4-0 with a 2.93 ERA during spring training with 30 strikeouts in 27.2 innings.

Norris actually appeared in five games for the Blue Jays after his September call-up last season with one start and four relief appearances. He has yet to earn a Major League decision and one of his relief outings came here in Yankee Stadium where he allowed a home run to Brian McCann in his only inning of work, and if nothing else that experience should alleviate any butterflies he may have pitching in the “House that Ruth Built.”

Good Career Numbers for C.C. vs. Blue Jays
Meanwhile, Sabathia is making his first Major League start since last May when arthroscopic knee surgery ended an ugly campaign early after posting a 5.28 ERA and 1.48 WHIP while going 3-4 over just eight starts. C.C. then had awful numbers again during spring training when he was 0-3 with an 8.10 ERA in three outings, but that does not concern us that much as he was working his way back into pitching shape.

The important thing is that Sabathia now seems healthy, and if that is true we may once again start seeing the C.C. of old, the C.C. that is 15-4 with a 3.13 ERA in 20 career starts vs. the Blue Jays. It is also significant that two hitters that the Blue Jays were relying on heavily this season in Jose Bautista and Josh Donaldson remain hitless through two games and that duo is just a combined 5-for-38 lifetime against Sabathia.

So if he is indeed recovered from his knee injury, Sabathia could give the Yankees at least six solid innings here and then hand things over to the good New York bullpen.

Temperature Near Freezing
And even setting numbers aside, the forecast calls for a low temperature of 33 degrees in the Bronx tonight and even the high for the day is only in the mid-40s, so these will not exactly be ideal hitting conditions.

Add this all up and we expect another low-scoring affair when Toronto wraps up a three-game series in New York vs. the Yankees on Thursday.

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MLB Pick: Blue Jays, Yankees ‘under’ 7 (+103)

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