MLB Pick: Betting Value Found on Rockies Over Diamondbacks in Tonight's NL West Action

Charles Stark

Wednesday, April 29, 2015 12:19 PM UTC

Wednesday, Apr. 29, 2015 12:19 PM UTC

NL West teams collide as the Colorado Rockies take on the Arizona Diamondbacks.  Yesterday the Dbacks won in decisive manner but I like the value on the Rockies today.

Pitchers and the line
Jordan Lyles takes on Josh Collmenter in what could be a decent pitching matchup.  On the MLB odds board the line is hovering between +100 and +102 on the Rockies, and I like the value of them in this spot to bounce back from yesterday.  Interesting line in my opinion, although the Rockies have the better record overall, Collmenter has the better starter numbers.  He comes in with a 3.65 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP, but what is impressive are his career numbers with a 3.43 ERA and 1.16 WHIP.  Lyles comes in with a good 2.92 ERA and 1.30 WHIP, career wise those numbers rise to 4.99 and 1.43.  Seems like a no brainer with the pitchers, but Lyles is only 24 years old and is showing signs of developing into a good major league pitcher.


At the plate
Colorado and Arizona are deadlocked averaging 4.35 runs per game this year.  After that though the statistics clearly point to the Rockies as the better offensive team so far this season.  The Rockies rank second in the league in hits per game at 10 with Arizona ranked 12th at 8.65.  Total bases the Rockies rank 3rd in the league, the Dbacks 17th, batting average Colorado 2nd, Dbacks 13th, Slugging percentage Colorado is 3rd, Dbacks 20th, and on base percentage Colorado is 8th, Dback 17th.

With a slight lean to Collmenter in the pitching matchup I think Lyles has shown enough to back him in this spot.  Better value and better offense side with the Rockies so I will be backing them today with my MLB picks.

MLB Pick: Take Rockies at BetOnline

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":752649, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,43,227,999996,93,238,123,139], "LineTypeId":5, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

comment here