MLB Pick: Bet on Tampa Bay's Momentum as Rays Hold Huge Edge Over Twins Tonight

Joe Gavazzi

Friday, May 15, 2015 3:19 PM UTC

Friday, May. 15, 2015 3:19 PM UTC

Rays & Twins face off tonight in the first of a 3-game weekend set at Target Field.  It is the 1st meeting of the season for them and we're here to find some profit on the MLB odds to share with you.

Tampa Bay Rays (Odorizzi) (-105) at Minnesota Twins (Hughes) 8:10 ET
The Rays and Twins face off in the first of 3-game weekend set at Target Field. In tonight’s matchup, it will be all TBay Rays, as the hitting momentum for each team has switched while Tampa Bay holds a huge edge according to MLB betting odds in the matchup of tonight’s starters.

Every dog has its day in MLB!  This was proven by the Minnesota Twins, a perennial loser, who are again headed for a sub .500 season, despite their recent positive run.  Remember that this is a team who has not won more than 70 games in any of the previous 3 seasons and is projected to have the fewest wins in the American League.  The recent 12-3 run saw Minnesota average 6.7 RPG with a .307 BA.  But, that came against the backend of the Seattle rotation and 3 of the worst teams in the league, the Chicago White Sox, the Oakland A’s and the Cleveland Indians.  Since that run, the Twins have reverted to mediocrity.  Entering tonight, they are on a 1-3 slide, being outscored 25-10 with a .200 BA.  Last night, they were bashed by Detroit (13-1).  Everything broke perfectly for Phil Hughes last season in what was the best year of his career.  Returning to his more predictable form, Hughes has gone 2-4 with a 5.11 ERA.  That has been even worse of late, as in 2 starts, spanning 12 1/3 IP, Hughes has allowed 9 runs.  His history against Tampa Bay leaves much to be desired.  In 11 starts, Hughes is 3-6 with a 5.02 ERA.  That includes his most recent 3 starts against Tampa Bay in which he has gone 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA.  

Tampa Bay is turning around their season with strong hitting to complement the best pitching staff in the majors that has a .642 OPS.  The Rays have scored 4 or more runs in 7 of 9 games.  That includes 18 runs in the just completed 4-game set against the Yankees.  Sending emerging ace, Odorizzi, to the mound is clearly a positive.  The record of 3-2 with a 2.09 ERA is solid.  But, the peripherals imply that his work will get even better.  The following numbers are all key indicators for his success moving forward this season.  He has a 0.91 WHIP, a .555 OPS, and a 4.9 K/BB.  In short, that is all one could ask for from a MLB starting pitcher.

Now, that the offensive momentum has changed for these teams, I am eager to line up with the Rays as my MLB pick in this pitching mismatch, knowing that their solid fundamental brand of baseball has resulted in series dominance of 15-3, including 9-1 most recently.

MLB Pick: Tampa Bay at 5Dimes

comment here