MLB Pick: Bet Pineda & Yankees -128 to Cool Down Astros Bats

Willie Bee

Wednesday, August 26, 2015 11:38 AM GMT

The Astros and Yankees take their set to a rubber game in one of two matinees on today's baseball betting card. Will bad feelings from Tuesday carry over to the matchup?

Houston Astros bats came alive Tuesday night in a 15-1 blowout of the New York Yankees, and both benches also came alive during a shouting match in the sixth inning. That could set up a testy matinee affair today when the clubs close out the series with a deciding third game.

New York officially opened close to -150 chalk for the 1:05 PM (ET) start in the Bronx, but the moneyline has since dropped about 20¢ at sports books such as BetOnline. The initial mound duel is a rematch from earlier this season, pitting Houston's Collin McHugh opposite Michael Pineda in the pinstripes, and SBR's live MLB odds is showing 7½ for the total, the 'over' juiced high enough to suggest it could move to 8 by first pitch.

 

Pineda Returns From DL To Make Start
Houston's offense has been dormant in McHugh's last three starts, scoring just three runs total to lose each contest despite fine pitching by their righthander (1.80 ERA). He has been especially good at keeping balls from leaving yards in the second half of the campaign, serving up just one home run in his last seven starts covering 45 innings compared to 14 long balls in the initial 114 frames.

McHugh beat the Yanks with eight, 2-hit innings on June 28 in what was his first career start vs. New York. His road ERA (3.71) is about half a run lower than when he pitches at home (4.20), and the Astros are 6-6 in those assignments.

New York just lost CC Sabathia to the disabled list, so it's a welcome sight to see Pineda returning from a forearm strain after missing the last month. He was roughed up by the Mariners and Twins in his two outings before landing on the DL, allowing nine runs and 14 hits -- 3 HR -- in less than 12 innings total of the two losses. Pineda was also on the losing end of McHugh's performance in late-June, leaving the Yankees 0-2 when he faces Houston.

 

Umpire Notes, Mother Nature & A Free Pick
After sitting out the entire 2014 season following the death of his wife, Sam Holbrook returned to the field this year much to the delight of baseball bettors who like to play home chalk. The Kentucky native has bounced around with three different crews this season, but regardless who Holbrook is paired with, home squads have had a 15-5 advantage (14-4 when favored). Totals have been a bit tighter in his games, 11-9 O/U, with the last two failing to make it to the MLB odds.

Houston's Carlos Gomez was the target of Yankees derision on Tuesday, and he may be a target of an early inside offering from Pineda this afternoon when the skies are expected to be clear with temps in the mid-80s. With my MLB pick in this showdown I'm playing New York.

My pick: Yankees -128 @ BetOnline