MLB Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks +147 over San Francisco Giants

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, April 24, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Wednesday, Apr. 24, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Ian Kennedy is coming off of his first Quality Start of the year and he has always pitched well vs. the Giants, while Madison Bumgarner has struggled vs. the underdog Diamondbacks.

The underdogs look to hold some very nice value on Wednesday afternoon when Ian Kennedy and the Arizona Diamondbacks (11-9, 6-5 away) pay a visit to Madison Bumgarner and the San Francisco Giants (13-8, 8-3 home) in the final game of a three-game series from AT&T Park in San Francisco, CA at 3:45 ET.

The posted money line at 5 Dimes has Arizona as a decided underdog for this contest at current odds of +147.

The Giants took the opening game of this series in walk-off fashion 5-4 on Monday before the Diamondback even things up with a 6-4 win in 11 innings on Tuesday, overcoming a pinch-hit game-tying two-run home run by the Giants' Brandon Belt in the ninth inning.

Arizona now looks to take the series with its ace of the last couple of seasons in Kennedy on the bump in Wednesday’s matinee. Kennedy looked like anything but an ace while getting knocked around in spring training though, and that carried over into the regular season as he allowed 10 earned runs and 17 hits over 11.2 innings in is first two starts.

Kennedy was better in his last start vs. the Colorado Rockies despite being tagged with the loss, as he allowed three runs on only three its in six innings in the altitude of Coors Field with six strikeouts, and he now has a chance to continue to return to his normal fine form vs. a San Francisco team that he has pitched very well against.

Kennedy as made 13 career starts vs. the Giants and he is 6-2 with a spiffy 2.36 ERA and 1.03 WHIP against them with 81 strikeouts against 27 walks in 90.2 innings while limiting San Francisco batters to a .203 batting average. He is 5-0 with a 2.57 EA in his last seven starts vs. the Giants and he has a career 2.66 ERA and 1.08 WHIP here at AT&T Park.

Granted, the World Champion Giants have a very tough pitcher of their own on the mound in the southpaw Bumgarner, who has been very consistent while going 3-0 with a 2.05 ERA and 0.91 WHIP with 27 strikeouts in 26.1 innings, as he has allowed exactly two earned runs in each of his last three starts after tossing eight shutout innings at the Dodgers in his seasonal debut. However, the Diamondbacks have given Bumgarner more trouble than most clubs.

Bumgarner failed to record a Quality Start in three starts vs. Arizona last season while going 0-3 with a bloated 6.61 ERA and 1.71 WHIP while allowing the Diamondbacks to bat a whopping .310 off of him, and he also allowed four home runs over those 16.1 innings. Furthermore, his 5.59 ERA vs. Arizona in five starts over the last two seasons is Bumgarner’s worst ERA vs. any team that he faced at least twice during that span.

With Arizona at a very nice price here, look for Bumgarner’s struggles vs. the Diamondbacks and Kennedy’s success vs. San Francisco to continue on Wednesday.


MLB Pick: Diamondbacks +147

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