Our MLB handicapper needs a win, and Matt Cain should be able to deliver a dud against the Nationals to get the job done. Read on as he gives a parlay option for your Friday MLB Pick!
Wow. So, that’s eight losses in a row for me and I’m definitely on Fade Watch™ at the moment. When you have a losing streak like this it is a little easy to go off the deep end. “Should I make a pick, and fade myself?” “Should I just pick what I DON’T think will happen?” “Should I just tail another baseball handicapper, so I have someone else to blame?” These are all questions most of you have had for yourselves to try to get out of a slump as well.
I’m sure the Nationals are also questioning themselves after losing last night, their fourth game in a row, to fall to 58-56 on the season and 4.5 games back of the Mets in the NL East. Their offense has been atrocious during that span and has racked up strikeouts at an impressive clip, including striking out 14 times last night. Luckily for them, they have Max Scherzer on the mound tonight. Scherzer is having himself a fantastic season, and is posting an impressive 2.44 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, 191/23 K/BB ratio, and .198 BAA. If these statistics kept the same to end the year, it would be Scherzer’s best. Most impressive to me is the lack of free passes that Scherzer is giving up. Over his last ten games, Scherzer has given up just 9 walks, a streak which includes five games in which he has walked nobody. Add in the .213 AVG that Scherzer is batting and you have him posting 5.0 WAR already this season with a month and a half to go. Dude is a stud.
Matt Cain has had a pretty rocky few games since his last win at San Diego on July 22nd. In that three game span, Cain has posted a 7.80 ERA and failed to give up less than four runs per start. It’s one of the reasons his ERA has ballooned to 5.59 to go along with his 1.59 WHIP and .309 BAA. Since returning in early July from the DL, Cain has struggled, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him shut down or sent to the bullpen if he continues at this pace.
The MLB odds on this game are understandably tilted in the Nationals favor. After they opened at -142 on the money line at Pinnacle, the line has moved their direction and now sits at -156 at sites such as Bovada. This has opened up a good opportunity for those that like to bet home dogs on the run line, as you can find the Giants +1.5 at only -125 at Bovada. With both of these offenses struggling I wasn’t surprised to see the O/U total listed at 7 at multiple books, and it has also moved to 6.5 at multiple books as well.
MLB Betting Verdict
You know, yesterday me would have totally jumped on the run and a half with the home dog. But this is the new me, the one that needs a win right quick. And there is literally no better way to bust a slump than to bet a parlay. This is, of course, not true. But I’m going to do it anyway because yesterday me wouldn’t have, and yesterday me was a loser.
The MLB Pick: Nationals to win big in this one -145 at Pinnacle and parlaying that with Over 6.5 as my Friday MLB Pick.