MLB Overnight Report - Monday's AL West Matchup Provides Early Betting Value

Oakland Athletics

Ian Cameron

Sunday, August 14, 2016 9:49 PM UTC

Sunday, Aug. 14, 2016 9:49 PM UTC

Sports handicapper Ian Cameron provides an MLB Early Betting Lines Report for the baseball card taking place on Monday, August 15. Don't miss the opportunity of cashing a winning ticket with this free pick. 

Oakland Athletics vs. Texas Rangers
I expect plenty of runs in this AL West matchup on Monday night between Oakland and Texas with two suspect starters taking the mound. Ross Detwiler had a unexpected strong first start of the season for Oakland against Baltimore pitching 8 innings and shutting out the Orioles and yielding only 6 hits. However, there are plenty of peripheral numbers and advanced stats that show he was very fortunate in that outing and that it may be unwise to take that start as an indicator of a new and improved Ross Detwiler. He still appears to have the same mediocre stuff he’s always had. He only struck out 2 in those 8 innings and his strikeout rate is a very low 3.55 per 9 innings. His FIP and xFIP are 4.32 and 4.87 which are both more than two full runs higher than his ERA and his swinging strike rate is an incredibly weak 5.5% which tells me he is still not getting many swings and misses but rather the ball is just finding defenders gloves in the right place. I think the real Ross Detwiler is more likely to surface here than the one that shut down Baltimore in surprising fashion last time out and the fact he was previously with Texas means the Rangers should have great knowledge of what to expect from him at the plate. On the flip side, Martin Perez has had a rough second of the season as the Rangers lefty has allowed 5+ runs in 5 of his last 7 starts and he has been repeatedly bothered by the Athletics who have scored 26 runs in 28.2 innings over Perez’s last five starts against Oakland and it’s worth noting the Over is a perfect 5-0 in those games. The MLB Odds on the total are very high at 10 but it’s in this range for a very good reason and for my free pick I expect it to eclipse it and build on a 7-2 Over the total streak in the last 9 meetings between these two teams.

MLB Picks: Over 10 -110
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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