MLB Overnight Lines with Betting Value for Memorial Day

Matthew Jordan

Sunday, May 28, 2017 11:52 PM UTC

Sunday, May. 28, 2017 11:52 PM UTC

We browse the early MLB odds board in search of betting value on Monday’s Memorial Day holiday slate. Read on for two selections on two games that will maximize your profits.

Astros At Twins (9 Total)

Potential playoff preview? That Houston is leading the AL West isn’t a huge surprise as the Astros were MLB betting favorites to win that division back in the spring. That the Twins are atop the AL Central is pretty stunning.

One reason that Minnesota is in first place is ace Ervin Santana as the veteran right-hander is off to easily the best start of his career. The 34-year-old is an early Cy Young candidate at 7-2 with a 1.80 ERA that leads the American League. He’s also No. 1 with two complete games and second in wins and WHIP (0.83). Since the franchise moved to the Twin Cities in 1961, only two Twins pitchers had an ERA of 1.80 or lower through their first 10 starts of a season: Francisco Liriano was 9-1 with a 1.36 ERA in his first 10 starts in 2006 and Scott Erickson was 7-2 with a 1.63 ERA in his first 10 in 1991. Neither won the Cy Young; on ESPN’s Cy Young Predictor, Santana is second to Houston’s Dallas Keuchel. Santana comes off his second complete-game shutout of the season, allowing just two hits in a win over Baltimore.

Opposing hitters are batting just .134 against Santana this year. His Batting Average On Balls In Play is a crazy .136, which is by far the best mark in the majors, and Santana is the only starter under .200. He is running almost 100 points below the average for the best in the category over the last five seasons. Last year, for example, Toronto’s Marco Estrada led at .234. The Twins as a whole lead the majors with a .261 BABIP after ranking 29th last year. Santana is 3-0 with a 2.20 ERA in four career starts against Houston

Houston counters with usual reliever Brad Peacock, who is 2-0 with a 0.87 ERA. He has allowed just two earned runs in 20.1 innings all season. Peacock got a spot start last Monday for Keuchel, who was on the DL (off it now), and struck out eight in 4 1/3 scoreless innings vs. the Tigers. He might stay in the rotation if he pitches that well again and with Mike Fiers struggling. The Astros can afford to experiment a bit with a huge lead in the division.

Free MLB Pick: ‘Under’ 9Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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Braves At Angels (-118)

This is the latest-starting game of the Memorial Day holiday at 9:07 p.m. and the Braves will add the designated hitter for the interleague matchup. It looks as if the Angels will be without the best player in baseball, outfielder and two-time AL MVP Mike Trout – he’s the huge betting favorite to win another award. Trout left Sunday’s game against the Marlins with a left thumb sprain, but X-rays ruled out any fractures. Trout will have an MRI on Monday. He was hurt on a headfirst slide while trying to steal second base in the fifth inning. Trout is hitting .337 with 16 homers and 36 RBIs. The team thinks he will avoid the DL for the first time in his career.

I’m sure that Braves starter Julio Teheran wouldn’t mind if Trout sat out. Teheran (3-4, 4.88) allowed three unearned runs last time out against the Pirates over six innings but just four hits. A second-inning error by Jace Peterson set Teheran up for a three-run homer by Adam Frazier. Atlanta has dropped four of his past five outings. Not too many Angels have seen him. Ben Revere is 5-for-20 off Teheran with two doubles and five RBIs. 

L.A’s Ricky Nolasco (2-4, 4.37) was knocked around for five runs over six innings last time out in a loss to Tampa Bay. He hasn’t won since April 27 and the Halos have dropped his past five, scoring more than three runs just once in that span. Brandon Phillips has faced him more than any Brave, going 6-for-30 with a homer and five RBIs. Matt Adams is 0-for-5 against him.

The Angels are basically the Padres without Trout so I lean the Braves here even though they are without their best hitter, injured first baseman Freddie Freeman.

Free MLB Pick: Braves +109Best Line Offered: Heritage

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