MLB Overnight Lines with Betting Value for May 30

Matthew Jordan

Monday, May 29, 2017 8:27 PM UTC

Monday, May. 29, 2017 8:27 PM UTC

We browse the early MLB odds board in search of betting value on Tuesday’s slate. Read on for two selections on two games that will maximize your profits.

Diamondbacks At Pirates (7.5 Total)

You know which team might have made the best trade of the 2016 baseball season? The Pittsburgh Pirates, who acquired right-hander Ivan Nova in a very overlooked deal right around the deadline for two low-level prospects. Nova had been struggling with the Yankees last year, but the Pirates have a history – led by pitching coach Ray Searage -- of turning reclamation projects into good big-league starters. Think Francisco Liriano or J.A. Happ to name two recent guys.

Nova is the latest success story for the guy known as Uncle Ray. Last year in 11 starts with the Bucs, Nova was 5-2 with a 3.06 ERA. That earned him a three-year, $26 million extension this offseason and that deal looks like a steal for the team with Nova at 5-3 with a 2.83 ERA. He’s first in the NL with two complete games, third in innings pitched (70.0), fourth in ERA and eighth in WHIP (1.09). He has allowed more than three earned just twice and the Bucs have won his past three. Nova took a no-decision at Arizona in May 14, giving up three runs over six innings. Paul Goldschmidt hits him well, going 3-for-6 with two homers.

Arizona’s Robbie Ray is a maddening lefty. His pure stuff is as good as anyone’s and Ray is third in the National League with 74 strikeouts. Alas, he’s also sixth with 29 walks. Ray is dealing right now, however, having shut out the Brewers and Padres over 14.2 innings on just four hits his past two starts. Ray took a no-decision against Pittsburgh on May 14, allowing four runs and six hits over a season-low four innings. He walked three and hit a batter.

Free MLB Pick: ‘Under’ 7.5Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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Red Sox At White Sox (7.5 Total)

This is the most interesting game on Tuesday’s schedule in my mind because it’s the return of one of the best White Sox pitchers ever to the South Side of Chicago. That would of course be lefty Chris Sale, whom the Pale Hose shipped to Boston this past offseason for a haul of prospects led by Cuban infielder Yoan Moncada and flame-throwing pitcher Michael Kopech. Both those guys are shining in the minors this season. Moncada should be called up later this year.

The White Sox will show a video tribute to Sale during Tuesday’s game. He was 74-50 in his seven seasons with the White Sox with a 3.00 ERA and 1,345 strikeouts in 1,183 innings.  Chicago never made the playoffs with him, however, and the front office decided it was time to rebuild.

“A little of me will be [nervous], but I think I’m more looking forward to this opportunity than any other emotion just because it’s fun,” Sale said Monday. “I’m playing against my friends. It might be hard not to smile out there on the mound at a couple of them. It’s fun. These are my buddies. It’s going to be a fun atmosphere and a fun time.”

Sale is an early leading candidate to win his first AL Cy Young Award as he’s 5-2 with a 2.34 and an MLB-leading 101 strikeouts. In the three team losses with Sale on the mound, the Red Sox totaled just three runs. Sale recently tied his own major-league record of eight consecutive starts with at least 10 strikeouts. He was unable to set the record last time out as he fanned only six in a win over Texas. Sale is the fourth pitcher since 1900 with 100 or more strikeouts through his first 10 starts of a season, joining Pedro Martinez, Curt Schilling and Roger Clemens. Obviously very few White Sox have faced him in a game that counts.

Chicago’s new ace, at least until he’s likely traded, is lefty Jose Quintana, and the Sox shifted him back a day to pitch against his former teammate and friend. Quintana (2-6, 4.82) has been disappointing thus far, but that ERA is largely due to three poor starts. He has been solid otherwise. Most expect the Sox to trade Quintana somewhere for another haul of prospects by the July 31 deadline. Quintana’s ground-ball rate is down to 38%, while his fly-ball rate has jumped to 42.7% this season. That means more homers. He’s on pace to give up a career-high 23 dingers and 15 of the 33 earned runs Quintana has allowed have come via the homer.

"Throwing on the same day will be a different feeling for me because he was the best teammate I ever played with," Quintana said of facing Sale.

The Red Sox could be without second baseman Dustin Pedroia for this game. He left Monday’s with a sprained left wrist after a collision at first base with Chicago’s Jose Abreu. Pedroia is hitting .292 with a .369 on-base percentage this year.

Free MLB Pick: ‘Under’ 7.5Best Line Offered: SportsBetting

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