MLB Overnight Lines with Betting Value for June 20

Matthew Jordan

Monday, June 19, 2017 7:50 PM UTC

Monday, Jun. 19, 2017 7:50 PM UTC

We browse the early MLB odds board in search of betting value on Tuesday’s slate. Read on for selections on two games that will maximize your profits.

White Sox At Twins (Total 9.5)

The Twins had the worst record in baseball last year but had been a nice story so far in 2017, leading the AL Central for much of the season. I believe that club was doing it largely with mirrors, however, and that it wouldn’t last. It hasn’t as the Twins were swept four games at home over the weekend against Cleveland and have dropped seven of nine overall. It was the first four-game home sweep the Twins have suffered since September 2014 against the Los Angeles Angels. Minnesota can hit, but the pitching staff is a major question mark. The Twins allowed at least six runs in six of those seven losses in the skid. They are also an AL-worst 14-24 at home this year.

Minnesota’s best pitcher has been Ervin Santana (8-4, 2.56), and he goes in the opener Tuesday against the White Sox. He hasn’t been immune to struggling of late, though, allowing at least five runs in two of his past three starts. Entering June, Santana had a 7-2 record, 1.75 ERA and a 0.84 WHIP in 11 starts. Santana has benefited from the lowest BABIP (.171) in the big leagues. Santana has been dominant in two outings vs. the White Sox this year, not allowing a run in 15 innings and only three hits in winning both. The Sox batters are hitting just .063 against him. Melky Cabrera has a .316 career average against him in 38 at-bats.

The Pale Hose were a season-high nine games under .500 entering last week but won three of four at home vs. Baltimore and then took two of three over the weekend in Toronto. Chicago also won two of three at Minnesota from April 14-16.

It’s lefty Derek Holland (5-6, 3.79) on the bump here. He had been obliterated two starts in a row but turned things around last Tuesday vs. the Orioles, allowing one run over six innings. Holland is 0-2 with a 4.09 ERA vs. the Twins this year. Eduardo Escobar is 4-for-7 career off him with a homer. Jason Castro is 4-for-12 with a homer. Miguel Sano 2-for-4 with a double and dinger.

Free MLB Pick: ‘Under’ 9.5Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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Diamondbacks At Rockies (-105)

The NL West Division is going to be great to follow all season as the Rockies, Diamondbacks and Dodgers all have winning percentages north of .600. It would be an upset if both wild-card teams don’t come from that division. Colorado enters this series leading the West and on a five-game winning streak but only a game ahead of Arizona, which has won seven in a row.

Colorado third baseman Nolan Arenado hit for the cycle in Sunday’s come-from-behind win over the Giants, with his walkoff homer completing the 17th cycle in Coors Field history. Arenado is hitting .373/.403/.657 in his past 16 games and is at a robust .358 with runners in scoring position on the season. Oh, and he’s a fabulous defensive player.

The Rox start rookie right-hander German Marquez (5-3, 4.19). He hasn’t lasted more than 5.2 innings in any of his past four outings, perhaps hitting a rookie wall already.  But he also has allowed two earned runs or fewer in seven of his 10 starts. He has faced Arizona twice to very different results. On April 30 in the desert, he threw six shutout innings. On May 5 in Denver, Marquez gave up five runs over six. Paul Goldschmidt will like seeing Marquez as he’s 4-for-5 with two homers against him. 

At 44-26, Arizona is off to the best 70-game start in team history. Sunday’s win in Philly to complete a three-game sweep improved the Snakes to 18-17 on the road after dropping 10 of their first 16 away from Chase Field.

It’s ace Zack Greinke (8-3, 3.00) on the mound here. He took a no-decision last time out in Detroit, allowing five unearned runs over 5.2 innings. Greinke has faced Colorado twice this year. On April 29 at home, he took a no-decision in giving up three runs – all solo homers – in six innings. On May 5 at Coors Field, Greinke allowed two runs over seven in a victory. Arenado his .243 against him and hasn’t homered in 37 at-bats. Carlos Gonzalez is 13-for-36 with four homers against Greinke career.

Free MLB Pick: Rockies -105Best Line Offered: SportsBetting

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