MLB Overnight Lines with Betting Value for July 31

Matthew Jordan

Sunday, July 30, 2017 9:50 PM UTC

Sunday, Jul. 30, 2017 9:50 PM UTC

We browse the early MLB odds board in search of betting value on Monday’s slate. Read on for selections on two games that will maximize your profits.

Tigers at Yankees (8.5 Total)

Keep in mind that Monday afternoon is the non-waiver trade deadline, so players on any of the four teams listed here could be scratched if they are on the move.

For example, the Tigers reportedly are willing to listen on 2016 AL Rookie of the Year Michael Fulmer, but it would take a lot to get him – including another team swallowing a terrible Tigers contract belonging to either pitcher Jordan Zimmermann or Justin Upton. So that limits Fulmer’s market severely.

I don’t know why Detroit would even consider trading the 24-year-old Fulmer, who is 10-8 with a 3.35 ERA. He should be the anchor of their rebuild. The Tigers have dropped his past two, but Fulmer threw a quality start last time out against the Royals: eight innings, three runs allowed, six Ks and no walks.

Fulmer has faced the Yankees once in his career, throwing six shutout innings in the Bronx on June 12, 2016. Todd Frazier has faced him more than any Yankee – but not with New York – and is 3-for-14 with a double and five strikeouts against Fulmer, who is 4-5 with a 2.91 ERA on the road this year.

Like Fulmer, the Yankees’ Luis Severino was selected to his first All-Star team this season. The 23-year-old is 7-4 with a 3.03 ERA after a terrible 2016 season. New York has won Severino’s past four starts; he has gone exactly seven innings in each and allowed four combined earned runs (zero in past two).

Severino has faced Detroit once, allowing three runs and 10 hits over five innings in a loss at Comerica Park on April 8 of last season.

Free MLB Pick: ‘Under’ 8.5Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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Mariners at Rangers (10.5 Total)

Two wild-card hopefuls in the AL West, although it appears Texas is more likely to be a seller. On Sunday, Rangers third baseman Adrian Beltre became the 31st member of MLB’s 3,000-hit club. He’s only the fourth third baseman to do so, joining Paul Molitor (who had more at-bats as a DH), George Brett and Wade Boggs. The next guy to reach 3,000 will be the Angels’ Albert Pujols, although that won’t happen until 2018.

This starts an eight-game road trip for Seattle, which is 6-3 vs. Texas this year and 1-2 in Arlington. The Mariners are hitting .282 as a team off Texas pitching with nine homers and 43 runs scored. Guillermo Heredia is 9-for-25 vs. the Rangers with a homer and six runs scored. Kyle Seager is batting .324 with a homer and six RBIs. Nomar Mazara is hitting .185 off Mariners pitching and Joey Gallo .111.

Seattle’s Felix Hernandez (5-4, 4.08) took a no-decision last time out vs. Boston, allowing four runs over 5.2 innings. Three of those runs came in the sixth, knocking King Felix out. His first win of the season came in his lone 2017 start vs. Texas, allowing one run and six hits on April 14 at Safeco Field. Beltre is a career .235 hitter against him with just one homer in 51 at-bats. Rougned Odor is 4-for-27 off Hernandez with nine strikeouts.

Rangers lefty Cole Hamels (5-1, 3.97) started July with three quality starts to lower his ERA to 3.05. However, he was pounded for seven runs over 5.1 innings on July 20 in Baltimore and then allowed four runs in six innings last time out, albeit in a win, over Miami. His 5.3 K/9 and 4.97 FIP are both career worsts by far.

Hamels has faced Seattle once in 2017, allowing three earned over five in the Pacific Northwest on April 16. He is 4-0 with a 2.88 ERA at home this season. Some books have this total at 10 so jump on that extra half-line for your MLB pick while you can. 

Free MLB Pick: ‘Under’ 10.5Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

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