MLB Overnight Lines with Betting Value for July 17

Matthew Jordan

Sunday, July 16, 2017 10:57 PM UTC

Sunday, Jul. 16, 2017 10:57 PM UTC

We browse the early MLB odds board in search of betting value on Monday’s slate. Read on for selections on two games that will maximize your profits.

Nationals At Reds (+130)

It’s not often you will find a getaway day game on a Monday but that’s the case from Cincinnati with a 12:35 p.m. ET first pitch from Great American Ball Park. Normally, you worry about a regular or two on either side getting the day off in a getaway game. But that likely won’t happen because guys are rested after the All-Star break and it’s not like the teams played the night before but instead on Sunday afternoon. Although keep in mind that three Nationals, Bryce Harper, Daniel Murphy and Ryan Zimmerman, started in the ASG so maybe Dusty Baker gives one of two this one off ahead of a trip to the West Coast.

The Nats have won the first three games of the series but at least three runs in each. It was 14-4 on Sunday behind two Murphy homers. Earlier in the day, the Nationals bolstered their bullpen as they acquired relievers Ryan Madson and Sean Doolittle from the Oakland Athletics for right-hander Blake Treinen and a pair of prospects.

Washington starts All-Star right-hander Stephen Strasburg. He didn’t pitch in the game but apparently would have had it gone to a 12th inning. Perhaps the extra rest will do Strasburg (9-3, 3.43) some good as he was roughed up in his final start before the break, allowing six runs vs. Atlanta with no strikeouts in a season-low three innings. Strasburg was hit on his hip by a line drive from Nick Markakis in the third and left after the inning. Strasburg took a no-decision vs. the Reds on June 23, allowing five runs in five innings. Scooter Gennett owns him, going 4-for-8 with three homers.

Cincinnati’s Scott Feldman (7-6, 3.94) could be flipped to a contender looking for a back-end innings eater. He struggled in his final pre-break start, losing in Colorado and allowing four runs in five innings. He allowed two homers, the first time since Opening Day that Feldman allowed more than one. He was opposite Strasburg on June 25 and allowed two runs in seven innings in the victory.

Free MLB Pick: Nationals -140Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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 Cubs At Braves (9.5 Total)

It’s the first meeting of the season between these teams and the Cubs’ first-ever trip to the new SunTrust Park in suburban Atlanta. That has proven to be very hitter-friendly.

The Cubbies might have started Jon Lester this weekend in Baltimore had they not acquired Jose Quintana from the White Sox on Thursday; Quintana started Sunday’s finale at Camden Yards and was brilliant. It allowed Joe Maddon to give ace lefty Jon Lester another day of rest. Lester (5-6, 4.25) comes off the worst outing of his career, allowing a whopping 10 runs and two homers in just two-thirds of an inning against Pittsburgh last Sunday.

Maddon had moved his rotation around just so Lester could start the Cubs’ finale before the break. It was the first time in 335 career starts that Lester failed to finish the first inning. The Cubs hadn't allowed 10 in an inning since 1998. They lead the majors in first-inning runs allowed and have already surpassed last year's total.

Lester was 1-0 with a 0.64 ERA in two starts vs. the Braves in 2016. Freddie Freeman is a career .357 hitter off him in 14 at-bats. All-Star Ender Inciarte is 0-for-10.

Atlanta’s Julio Teheran (7-6, 4.79) clearly doesn’t like the Braves’ new park. He is 6-0 with a 2.53 ERA on the road and 1-6 with a 7.58 ERA in nine home starts. That’s baffling. It’s now like SunTrust Park is Coors Field. In his last start, Teheran shut out the Nationals in D.C. on four hits over seven innings – while knocking in three runs at the plate with two hits. It was his fifth scoreless start of the season.

Teheran didn’t allow a run in seven innings in his lone 2016 start vs. the Cubs. Kris Bryant, Jason Heyward and Ben Zobrist are a combined 0-for-11 against him. Kyle Schwarber is 3-for-3.

Free MLB Pick: ‘Over’ 9.5Best Line Offered: Bookmaker

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