MLB Overnight Lines with Betting Value for August 1

Matthew Jordan

Monday, July 31, 2017 7:49 PM UTC

Monday, Jul. 31, 2017 7:49 PM UTC

We browse the early MLB odds board in search of betting value on Tuesday’s slate. Read on for selections on two games that will maximize your profits.

Indians at Red Sox (8 Total)

Of course Cleveland swept Boston in last year’s ALDS, ending the career of Red Sox legend David Ortiz. It’s quite possible these two face off again this October as well, as I expect the Indians to repeat in the AL Central. I’m not as confident on the Red Sox doing the same in the AL East now that pitcher David Price is back on the disabled list with elbow trouble and the Yankees added Sonny Gray.

Price’s injury makes Red Sox lefty Chris Sale that much more important to the team, and Sale is practically a lock to win his first Cy Young Award barring a major injury himself. Sale (13-4, 2.37), who has never reached a postseason in his stellar career, leads the AL in wins, innings (148.1), strikeouts (211), ERA and WHIP (0.88). On normal rest his turn would have been Monday, but the Sox opted to push him back a day.

Sale hasn’t allowed a run in his past three starts – vs. Mariners, Angels and Yankees – spanning 20.2 innings. He has surrendered just 10 hits with 33 strikeouts in that span. Sale’s 211 strikeouts are the most for any MLB pitcher entering August since 2002 when Randy Johnson had 215 and Curt Schilling had 212 strikeouts entering the month. Only Roger Clemens in 1988 had more strikeouts through July (232) among Red Sox pitchers in history. Not many Indians have much career success against Sale. Austin Jackson almost surely won’t start considering he’s 2-for-33 career against him with 15 strikeouts. Michael Brantley is 3-for-66 with 12 Ks.

Cleveland’s Carlos Carrasco (10-4, 3.58) has allowed two earned in each of his past two outings but took no-decisions in both. He has been great on the road this year with a 7-2 record and 2.87 ERA in 11 starts. Boston’s Mitch Moreland is 4-for-10 off him with two homers.

Free MLB Pick: ‘Under’ 8Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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 Diamondbacks at Cubs (-164)

Arizona got a bad break, literally, as it chases one of the NL’s wild-card sports as shortstop Chris Owings, who also has played several games at second and in the outfielder this year, fractured his right middle finger on a bunt attempt Sunday. Lance Lynn’s 92 mph fastball caught him on that digit. Owings is expected to miss the rest of the season. He’s is hitting .269 and has 12 home runs and 51 RBIs, career highs in both categories.

The Snakes start lefty Patrick Corbin (8-9, 4.36) in the series opener. He has won his past two outings and has a 2.81 ERA in his past seven. His ERA before that stretch was 5.19. No Cub has more than four official at-bats off Corbin. Anthony Rizzo is 1-for-4 with two walks. It’s not clear if he will play as Rizzo sat out Sunday’s game with a sore back – and Rizzo almost never sits out. Perhaps Monday’s day off as well will allow him to return here.

Cubs starting pitching has allowed three or fewer runs in 15 consecutive starts with an ERA of 2.26. Chicago has lost just three times since the All-Star break to retake control of the NL Central. Rizzo’s replacement at first, rookie Victor Caratini, made his first career start at the position Sunday and hit the go-ahead homer – his first in the majors – in a win at the Brewers.

It’s lefty Jon Lester (8-6, 3.88) on the bump. He is 3-0 in his three starts since the break with a 2.05 ERA and only 10 hits allowed in 22 innings (.135 opponents’ average). Arizona’s Paul Goldschmidt is 3-for-6 career off him with a dinger. AJ Pollock is 3-for-9 with a triple.

The Cubs made a trade with Detroit on Monday, landing reliever Justin Wilson and backup catcher Al Avila.

Free MLB Pick: Cubs -164Best Line Offered: Bookmaker

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