MLB Overnight Lines with Betting Value for Aug. 7

Matthew Jordan

Sunday, August 6, 2017 10:10 PM UTC

Sunday, Aug. 6, 2017 10:10 PM UTC

We browse the early MLB odds board in search of betting value on Monday’s slate. Read on for selections on two games that will maximize your profits.

Cardinals at Royals (-111)

It’s the first of four in the “Show Me Series.” The clubs play two in Kansas City, where the Cardinals will add the designated hitter, and then two in St. Louis, where the Royals lose the DH. It’s important for more than state bragging rights as both are in the playoff hunt, although much more so Kansas City.

Good matchup of All-Star pitchers in the opener Monday. St. Louis righty Carlos Martinez (7-9, 3.59) probably didn’t deserve and All-Star bid considering he had a losing record at the break, although advance metrics consider win/loss records almost meaningless.

Last time out, Martinez lost in Milwaukee by allowing three runs over five innings. He was wild with five walks and labored through 102 pitches in his short stint. Martinez has won just once in his past eight starts overall. He has allowed first-inning runs in each of his last six starts and has a 6.55 season ERA in the frame. No current member of the Royals has homered against him.

The Royals start Ian Kennedy (4-7, 4.60). He comes off a four-inning stint and loss in Baltimore, allowing four runs and eight hits. It was only the second time he has given up more than three earned runs since June 16, a span of nine starts. Kennedy was set to start Sunday against Seattle but Manager Ned Yost pushed Kennedy back when Saturday’s game was rained out. Tommy Pham has had success off Kennedy, going 4-for-6 with two doubles and a homer. Jedd Gyorko is 2-for-3 with a dinger.

Free MLB Pick: Cardinals +101Best Line Offered: Bookmaker

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Cubs at Giants (-183)

Chicago begins a six-game West Coast trip Monday with an ESPN game in San Francisco. The teams of course met in last year’s NLDS, with the Cubs winning in four games – they closed out the series with a big ninth-inning rally in Game 4 at AT&T Park. This San Francisco team is nowhere near as good as that one.

The Cubs won three of four at Wrigley Field vs. the Giants back in May. Ben Zobrist was 6-for-12 in that series with two homers. Anthony Rizzo was 6-for-13 with three dingers. Jason Heyward had two homers.

The Cubbies start Jake Arrieta (10-8, 3.88) here. He has been a new guy since allowing six runs over four innings in a loss in Washington on June 27 dropped him to 7-6 with a 4.67 ERA. Arrieta hasn’t given up more than three earned in a start since. He was a tough-luck loser, however, last Wednesday vs. Arizona in allowing one earned and only three hits over seven. The Cubs were blanked that night.

Arrieta didn’t face the Giants earlier this year and took a no-decision in Game 3 of the NLDS with six innings pitched and two runs allowed. Arrieta hit a three-run homer in that one off Madison Bumgarner.

San Francisco’s struggles can somewhat be summed up by disappointing lefty Matt Moore (3-11, 5.80), who has been a massive disappointment. He hasn’t won since June 20 and allowed four runs in five innings in a loss to Oakland in his last start. Moore has surrendered 19 homers and issued 49 walks in 22 starts (122 2/3 innings) this season. Not good.

Moore pitched at Wrigley on May 24 and lost (6 IP, 3 ER). He was fantastic in Game 4 of the NLDS with one run and two hits given up over eight innings with 10 strikeouts, but his bullpen blew it.

Free MLB Pick: Cubs -183Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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