MLB Overnight Lines with Betting Value for Aug. 29

Matthew Jordan

Monday, August 28, 2017 7:40 PM UTC

Monday, Aug. 28, 2017 7:40 PM UTC

We browse the early MLB odds board in search of betting value on Tuesday’s slate. Read on for selections on two games that will maximize your profits.

White Sox at Twins (-210)

It’s a series opener between AL Central rivals with Minnesota currently holding down the second wild-card spot. I didn’t think the Twins had enough pitching to earn a playoff spot, but that might not matter if Byron Buxton has arrived. The former No. 1 overall prospect in baseball had been a defensive whiz in center field since being called up originally in 2015 but he hadn’t been hitting a lick.

That has changed.

On Sunday, Buxton hit a career-high three homers against the Blue Jays and finished 4-for-5 with four runs, five RBIs and a steal. This month, he’s hitting a robust .330 with eight homers, 21 RBIs and an OPS of 1.011. Buxton hasn’t had much success hitting against the White Sox in 2017, though, batting just .207 with 20 strikeouts in 58 at-bats.

The Sox start James Shields (2-4, 5.63). He hasn’t won since June 29 vs. the Yankees but does come off a quality start vs. these Twins last Wednesday in a no-decision.  Overall, he has a 3.00 ERA in two starts this year against the Twins. Buxton is 3-for-11 off him with two homers.

It’s ace Ervin Santana (13-7, 3.24) for Minnesota. There was some talk the Twins were open to dealing him – the waiver trade deadline is Aug. 31 – but that won’t happen with the team in playoff contention. Santana is 3-0 with a 2.33 ERA and a complete game in four starts this year vs. the White Sox. Avisail Garcia is 6-for-24 career off him with two homers and eight strikeouts.

The Sox won three of five games at home against Minnesota last week to cut Chicago’s deficit in the season series to 9-7. The Twins have won two of three games in both of the previous series at Target Field. Chicago is just 3-12 in Shields’ past 15 on the road.

Free MLB Pick: Twins RLBest Line Offered: BetOnline

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Dodgers at Diamondbacks (9 Total)

I’m not a Dodgers fan in the least, but boy did I feel incredibly bad for lefty pitcher Rich Hill in his last start, and I’m sure you know what I’m talking about. In Pittsburgh on Wednesday, Hill (9-5, 3.32) took a perfect game in the ninth inning – only for Logan Forsythe to commit an error. However, Hill still had a no-hitter through nine, but the game was scoreless at 0-0.

Manager Dave Roberts allowed Hill to come out for the bottom of the 10th inning, which you just never see these days. So what happened? Leadoff hitter Josh Harrison went yard on Hill’s 99th pitch of the night. Hill, the first pitcher since Pedro Martinez in 1995 to take a no-hit try into extra innings, was the first pitcher in the past 100 seasons to throw at least nine innings, allow one or fewer hits with no walks, and still get a loss. Hill is 0-1 with a 2.70 ERA in two starts this year vs. Arizona. NL MVP candidate Paul Goldschmidt is 2-for-8 career off him.

The Diamondbacks counter with Zach Godley (5-7, 3.15). In his last 6 starts, he has a 2.78 ERA (11 ER in 35.2 IP). And in home eight home starts in 2017, he has a 3.22 ERA and .174 opponent average. Godley is 0-1 with a 2.92 ERA in two starts vs. the Dodgers this year. Justin Turner is 3-for-12 off him with two solo homers.

L.A. must win 26 of its final 33 games to get to an MLB-record 117 victories but remains in good shape to shatter the National League 162-game season mark of 108 wins shared by the 1975 Cincinnati Reds and 1986 New York Mets.

The ‘under’ is 5-2 in the past seven meetings so that’s my MLB pick.

Free MLB Pick: ‘Under’ 9Best Line Offered: BetDSI

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