MLB Overnight Lines with Betting Value for Aug. 15

Matthew Jordan

Monday, August 14, 2017 5:11 PM UTC

Monday, Aug. 14, 2017 5:11 PM UTC

We browse the early MLB odds board in search of betting value on Tuesday’s slate. Read on for selections on two games that will maximize your profits.

Giants at Marlins (+113, 8)

Perhaps no team had a better weekend than the Marlins. They not only swept three games at home vs. Colorado but the sale of the team was finalized to a group led by Derek Jeter. The sale price was a cool $1.2 billion. Jeter, a 14-time All-Star shortstop with the Yankees and who lives up the state in Tampa, will be in charge of the business and baseball operations when everything is completed likely after the regular season.

No player in baseball is hotter right now than the Marlins’ Giancarlo Stanton. On Sunday, he hit his league-leading 42nd homer, tying the Marlins franchise record set by Gary Sheffield in 1996. It was also the 250th homer of Stanton’s career. He is the 14th player in MLB history with 250 home runs before turning 28 years old. Since July 5 (entering Monday), Stanton has 20 homers. He's the first player since Shawn Green in 2002 to hit 20 homers in a span of 32 games or fewer. If the Marlins were contending, he’d be in the NL MVP conversation. Barring injury, he’s clearly going to win the home run crown.

Stanton will have his work cut out Tuesday, though, as the Giants start ace lefty Madison Bumgarner (2-5, 2.71), who is getting very little run support. Bumgarner has thrown three consecutive quality starts, allowing three runs and 15 hits over 21 innings, but has just one win to show for it. Bumgarner hasn’t faced the Marlins since 2015. Stanton is 8-for-16 career off him with five doubles and a homer.

Miami’s Dan Straily (7-8, 3.74) hasn’t won since July 7 in San Francisco when he allowed one run and four hits over 8.1 innings. Straily has allowed only two earned in each of his past three overall. The only Giants player to homer in his career off Straily is Denard Span. Brandon Crawford is just 1-for-11 against him.

Free MLB Pick: ‘Under’ 8Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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Pirates at Brewers (-123, 9.5)

Big series for these two wild-card contenders – a sweep could be deadly for the loser. Milwaukee made a trade over the weekend in landing second baseman Neil Walker from the Mets. He had two hits in his Brewers debut on Sunday in a win over the Reds.

Milwaukee manager Craig Counsell expects to get third baseman Travis Shaw back for this one. Shaw, who was stolen in a trade from Boston last offseason, homered on Saturday, his 25th of the season. He’s only the fourth Brewers third baseman to hit at least that many. The team record for a player at that position is 34 by Ryan Braun in 2007. He plays outfield now. Shaw was out of the lineup Sunday after fouling a pair of pitches off his right leg Saturday.

You may want to consider a hitting prop on Shaw for this one as he’s 10-for-13 career with three homers and eight RBIs off Pittsburgh starter Ivan Nova. The Pirates’ right-hander is 10-9 with a 3.87 ERA on the season but hasn’t won in his past four and has allowed at least four earned in each. Nova is 1-1 with a 4.85 ERA in two starts this year vs. the Brewers.

The Brew Crew go with Zach Davies (13-6, 4.40 ERA). Davies was roughed up last time out, allowing six earned runs in 5 2/3 innings in a loss to Minnesota on Thursday. He is 1-1 with a 4.58 ERA in three starts vs. the Pirates this season. Despite the loss, Davies is 6-2 with a 3.07 ERA over his last nine starts. Among qualified starters, Davies gets the second-most run support in the majors at 5.58 runs per game.

Free MLB Pick: Brewers -123Best Line Offered: SportsBetting

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