MLB Over/Under Picks for Royals/Blue Jays & Angels/Astros

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, July 30, 2015 2:39 PM GMT

Our MLB handicapping professional has two more winners on tap tonight. Read his betting preview pertaining to totals in games between the Royals/Blue Jays and Angels/Astros.

Royals (Duffy) vs. Blue Jays (Estrada) 7:07 PM ET
Daniel Duffy enters today in superb form over his last three starts, evidenced by an excellent 0.90 ERA during those appearances, and all three games went under the total. Duffy has gone 9-0 under the total during his starts in July since 2014, and those nine games averaged a paltry 3.9 runs combined scored per contest. The Royals southpaw hurler was terrific in his one start versus Toronto this year, allowing no earned runs on 4 hits during 6.0 innings of work. The Kansas City bullpen is the envy of baseball. The Royals relievers have a cumulative 2.14 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. Kansas City has averaged only 3.1 runs per game and has a poor .229 team batting average over their last seven contests.

Marco Estrada has a stellar 2.59 ERA and 1.06 WHIP over his last seven starts. The Toronto bullpen has been solid in 2015 at home with a staff ERA of 3.05 and a very good 1.09 WHIP. Toronto is coming off a 8-2 shellacking of Philadelphia on Wednesday, and it was the 20th time this season they have scored 8 runs or more in a game. The Blue Jays have gone 16-4 under the total this year following a game in which they scored 8 runs or more.

I like this game to play on the total’s low side as one of my MLB picks on Thursday. The MLB betting odds at Pinnacle offers a superb value in that regard.

MLB Pick:  Royals/Blue Jays under 8.5 (+102) at Pinnacle

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Angels (Shoemaker) vs. Astros (Kazmir) 8:10 PM ET
Scott Kazmir’s debut with Houston after coming over in a trade from Oakland was nothing short of sensational. He tossed 7.0 innings of scoreless baseball while allowing just 4 hits and walking just 1 in a 4-0 win at Kansas City. Kazmir has now registered a brilliant 0.34 ERA over his last four starts. He’s proven to be one of the top ten starting pitchers in the American League this season with a superb 2.24 ERA in nineteen starts.

After enduring a tough first half of the year, Matt Shoemaker has seemed to find his pitching groove of late. Shoemaker has compiled a stellar 2.31 ERA during his previous four starts, and the Angels were 3-0-1 under the total in those games. The Angels have gone 16-7-1 under the total this season when facing a southpaw starting pitcher like they’ll be doing this evening.

I like this game to be a starting pitcher’s duel, and both bullpens have been very good in 2015. Pinnacle is the only major Sportsbook which currently has a posted total of 8.0 while the rest are at 7.5.

MLB Picks:  Angels/Astros under 8.0 (-127) at Pinnacle.