MLB Odds Create Strong Dog Value: Red Sox' Struggling Pitcher Makes Twins a Steal at +135

Darin Zank

Thursday, June 4, 2015 2:29 PM UTC

Thursday, Jun. 4, 2015 2:29 PM UTC

Minnesota hasn't lost a series in almost a month, and will try to avoid such a fate Thursday afternoon in Boston. Where does our betting faith lie on today's contest?

Twins-Sox Thursday Betting Line
Most of the MLB betting odds market opened Boston and Steven Wright at around -150 over Minnesota and lefty Tommy Milone, with a total of 8.5 runs. Many books then dropped that price about a dime, to the -140 range.


The Situation
The Sox took the first two games of this series, winning 1-0 Tuesday and 6-3 in the first game of a double-header Wednesday, but the Twins got on the board with a 2-0 victory in Wednesday's nightcap. Minnesota clinched the season series with Boston, with its fourth win in six meetings.

The Twins (31-21) have also won their last five series, and 12 of their last 17 games.

On the other hand the Sox (24-30) have lost two series in a row, and seven of their last 10 games.


Thursday's Starters
Knuckleballer Wright (2-2, 3.90) is one-for-three on quality starts since joining the rotation a couple weeks ago. Last time out he gave up three runs in 5 2/3 innings against Texas, while just before that he held the Angels to two runs through 6 1/3 innings.

This will be Wright's first-ever start against Minnesota, which could give him an advantage, at least for the first couple of times through the lineup.

Milone (2-2, 4.76) is making his first start in more than a month. He began the season well enough, with a very nice performance against the White Sox, but got progressively worse after that, and got sent down. But he was great at Triple-A Rochester, and is now back with the big club.

Last year, pitching for Oakland, Milone started twice against Boston, and got bombed for 11 runs in nine innings of work. The A's lost both those games.

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Twins-Sox Free Picks
Despite Milone's troubles with the Sox last year the value on today's line still resides with Minnesota for this MLB pick. Also, Boston is having trouble scoring, and games played at Fenway this season are 15-10 on the UNDERS.

Picks: Twins +135 and UNDER 8.5 runs at WagerWeb

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