MLB Odds Analysis & Picks for Sunday 7th

Swinging Johnson

Sunday, September 7, 2014 2:55 PM GMT

Each and every Sunday our MLB handicapper looks to bust your bookmaker with his MLB picks so get ready to end your baseball betting week on a winning note as he reveals his winning selection for Sunday, September 7th.

Swinger's 2014 MLB Record (26-26-1, -8.90 units)
*Picks are rated from 1 to 5 units*

Last Sunday we had a 2-1 day as the Baltimore Orioles, laying -170 smashed and bashed their way to a 4 unit winner over the Twins and we even decided to play the O's-1 ½ runs (+125) for 3 units on the run line and a sweat we did not break as Baltimore took care of business by the score of 12-8.  Unfortunately, we ended the day on a sour note as the Nationals and Mariners put up a few more runs than we cared to see as we bet 'under' 6 ½ (+100). But alas, the final score told a different tale as the Mariners took a 5-3 decision and edged us out of a perfect day.

When the smoke cleared we carved 4.75 units from our deficit and are looking to do the same today. Let's take a look at the MLB slate while everyone else is throwing darts at the NFL board so early in the season. Time to make our run. Let's go!

 

Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins - Max Play
Atlanta opened as -145 MLB betting favorites and has remained locked at that number. The Bravos have been in hostile territory throughout this three-game set getting drilled Friday night by the score of 11-3 only to return last night and to edge the Marlins 4-3. So here we are at the rubber game and the Braves get the distinct advantage of trotting Julio Teheran to the mound. Teheran has dominated the Marlins during his career as evidenced by his 4-0 record, 2.31 ERA and 1.05 WHIP against them. 

On the other hand (no pun intended), Brad Hand has struggled against Atlanta. He is 0-3 with a 6.06 ERA and a 1.408 WHIP when starting against the Braves. The last time Hand took the mound at home against Atlanta he was whacked around to the tune of seven runs on nine hits in five innings of work. However that was back in 2011 and much has happened since. But the bottom line is that Hand has not pitched well recently allowing close to five runs per game over his last three starts.

Don't overthink this one boys. Go with the better team and the better pitcher which makes the Braves the only team to back in your MLB picks
Free MLB Pick: Play Atlanta -145 for 5 units at Ladbrokes.com

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs
This game is more about what I am hearing than what I am seeing. A few well respected cappers I know think the MLB Odds markets have made this too good to pass up the home pup. The Cubbies are getting oodles of juice and a computer model even indicates this should be more of a pick'em than where the line stands right now and that is Pittsburgh saddled as -170 betting favorites. 

Pittsburgh's starter today Gerrit Cole has a 4.41 road ERA and got thumped in St. Louis in his last start by surrendering five runs on eight hits in a 5-4 loss. His last start at Wrigley Field proved to be a decent effort as he allowed four runs (three earned) on five hits and notched 10 K's over six innings of work en route to a 5-4 win.

The Cubs' Travis Wood has had decent success against the more talented Pirates this season registering a 1-1 record  (one no decision) and allowing seven runs over those three appearances. 

While I'm not big on betting big dogs because they usually lose in baseball, I will pin my hopes on this dog biting at home.
Free MLB Pick: Play the Cubs +160 for 3 units at 5Dimes

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