MLB Odds: A’s vs. Giants Preview, Prediction & Pick

Kevin Stott

Monday, June 27, 2016 3:58 PM UTC

Monday, Jun. 27, 2016 3:58 PM UTC

Let’s look at some trends, both scheduled Starters, Monday night’s Weather Forecast for A's versus Giants, and provide a MLB pick from the diamond for our SBR readership.

Oakland A’s vs. San Francisco Giants
AT&T Park in San Francisco is the site of the first game of the 2-game Interleague series between the host San Francisco Giants and RHP Jeff Samardzija and the Oakland A’s  and RHP Daniel Mengden on Monday night. Offshore MLB odds have opened up the Giants as -165 Home favorites (at Heritage) with the game’s Total opening up at 7½ (Under -115, at Heritage) with the Run Line odds seeing the Giants -1½ runs with a return of +125 and the visiting A’s +1½ runs at -145 (at Heritage). The scheduled Starters for Game 2 on Tuesday night are Righties Kendall Graveman for Oakland and Albert Suárez for NL West-leaders San Francisco. The Bay Bridge series will head to Oakland on Wednesday and Thursday for two more Interleague games, this time hosted by the A’s.


Oakland Athletics
The Oakland A’s (16-21 on Road) and Manager Bob Melvin come in here feeling good, fresh off taking a 4-game series at the Los Angeles Angels in Anaheim in which Oakland finally got some decent production from its Offense as the Athletics barely climbed out of last place in the AL West after going 3-1 against the Angels. But we know these ain’t your Mama’s Halos these days, despite the high-paid Roster.

On Sunday, Oakland (500/1 to win World Series, at BetVictor) failed to complete the 4-game sweep against the Angels, losing 7-6 when Los Angeles pushed a run across in the Bottom of the 9th. In the setback, A’s Manager Melvin had a Starting Lineup of: DH Coco Crisp, SS Marcus Semien, 3B Danny Valencia, LF Khris Davis, DH Billy Butler, RF Jake Smolinski, C Josh Phegley, 1B Yonder Alonso and 2B Arismendy Alcántara with Sonny Gray getting the start and going 6.0 IP and allowing 2 ER and 6 Hits with 3 K’s. Crisp (1-4, HR, 4 RBI) smacked a two-out Grand Slam for the A’s while Alonso was the only Oakland batter with 2 Hits and Semien hand a Solo shot.

The A’s scored 5, 7, 7 and 6 Runs against the Angels in four games that all went Over the Total Anaheim, but the Over is only 4-6 in Oakland’s L10 games with a string of 6 straight Unders preceding this latest 4-game (Over) Angels series.


San Francisco Giants
The San Francisco Giants (8/1 to win World Series, at PaddyPower) have been on their bi-annual Summer Lollapalooza Win Streak of late, reeling off 13 Wins in their L15 games and being like an MLB ATM for those backing them at the betting windows. And despite all the fervor around the Chicago Cubs this MLB Regular Season, the Giants almost have as good of a Record as does Chicago at this point, and anyone paying attention when these two have met this season know if there’s one team that can de-rail the Charlie Brown Cubbies plans on ending that ivy-covered trillion year curse—Chicago last won a World Series in 1908—it is this Giants (3/1 to win NL, at GTBets) team.

In the Rubber Game of the series on Sunday at San Francisco, the Giants pushed across a run in their half of the 9th Inning to win 8-7 and take the series, 2-1. In the victory, San Francisco Manager Bruce Bochy put out a Starting Lineup of CF Denard Span, LF Ángel Pagán, 1B Brandon Belt, C Buster Posey, SS Brandon Crawford, RF Jarrett Parker, 2B Ramiro Pena, 3B Conor Gillaspie with LHP Johnny Cueto (5.0 IP, 4 ER , 4 Hits) getting the start for San Francisco and a No Decision as the Giants improved to 24-14 here at Home at AT&T Park. Pagán went 4-for-5 with 3 Runs scored and 2 Doubles while 3-4-5 hitters Belt, Posey and Crawford all had 2 Hits as did 7-8 hitters Pena and Gillaspie.


Starting Pitchers Report Card
Giants starting RHP Jeff Samardzija (8-4, 3.59 ERA, 77 K’s) has been roughed up by the Oakland A’s in his L2 starts, going 1-1 with a Frankenstein-ish 10.54 ERA and a 2.273 WHIP after going 3 and 8 IP respectively and allowing 10 and 3 ERs on 11 and 8 Hits in a Loss in Frisco last year (Sept. 15, 2015) which had a final scoreline that looked like an NFL score (17-6) and a Win (7-1) in Oakland, also last season (May 17, 2015). So 19 Hits and 13 Earned Runs in just 11 Innings pitched. That ain’t good, brother. But at least Samardzija has pitched better here at Home this season (3.06 ERA) than he has on the Road (3.86 ERA) and Los Gigantes are 4-1 in Samardzija’s L5 starts here in the city where Tony Bennett left his heart, they have cable cars for transportation and a street (Lombard) as crooked as Washington lobbyist.

Oakland’s Billy Butler is 4-for-10 (.400) lifetime against Samardzija as is Marcus Semien while Billy Burns is 3-for-4 (.750) with 3 RBI against the San Francisco scheduled starter on Monday evening. Oakland starter Daniel Mengden (0-3, 3.00 ERA, 21 K’s) hasn’t won since being promoted after playing for both the A’s Double-A (Nashville, PCL) and Triple-A (Midland, Texas League) affiliates, but the Texas A&M product and Houston native has pitched decent this month and did have a nice start in his last outing, going 6 IP against the Brewers and allowing 3 ER on 7 Hits and registering 9 K’s. Like most of the league, the Giants (1/5 to win NL West at Betway) have not yet seen the 23-year-old rookie Mengden.


Weather Forecast, Trends, Final Wrap-Up and Pick
The Weather Channel forecast for San Francisco on Monday night is currently calling for Clear Skies, a Low of 55° with W Winds of 10-15 mph and 74% Humidity. It always seems that at the zenith of Summer with the warm weather coming into North America, that the baseball carries much more and both teams here are coming off series which saw Runs scored with all four A’s-Angels games in Anaheim going Over the Total (43 total Runs scored) and two of the three Giants-Phillies games going Over the posted Totals and the recent and relevant Trends show the Over has been the stronger MLB pick play in this series in the L3 seasons.

The Giants are 4-1 against the A’s in San Francisco the L3 seasons (+3.1 units) and 6-4 overall against Oakland over the span +2.1 units with 2 of 3 games here at AT&T Park going Over the posted Total and the Over going 5-3 in this Bay Bridge series over the L3 seasons (+1.6 unit). San Francisco is 13-2 in its L15 and is the type of team that likes to win series’, and with this series being a short 2-gamer and Game 1, expect the Giants to continue to put up its standard Summer 5-8 Runs against Oakland here and to hold off the Athletics who may possibly get whiplash going from playing the Los Angeles Angels (32-44, 3-7 L10) to these feisty Giants (8-2 L10). Big lean Over.

Some other Trends for your consideration: The Giants are 4-0 in their L4 Interleague games, 37-14 their L51 at Home against teams with a Losing Road Record, 7-19 their L26 against a RHP starter and 8-1 their L9 Home games versus a team with a Losing Record. San Francisco is also 49-23 in its L74 when an opponent has allowed 5+ Runs the previous game, 23-8 its L31 after a Win, 37-17 its L54 games on Grass (AT&T Park) and 13-3 in its L16 Home games.

The A’s are 4-0 both in their L4 Monday games and Game 1’s of a series, 4-1 their L5 Road games but 19-45 their L64 after allowing 5+ Runs the previous game (SF beat the Phillies, 8-7 on Sunday). Oakland is 2-7 its L9 Interleague games, 4-9 its L13 Interleague vs. a club with a Winning Record, 0-4 their L4 Interleague games vs. a RHP starter and 1-7 their L8 and 11-27 their L38 in that particular situation. Not good. Belt (.315) and the host Giants and come in 39-38 on Run Line while Oakland is 39-36. Some unique Totals (Over/Under) Trends: The Over is 4-0 the A’s L4 Road games and 4-0 the L4 A’s overall after that aforementioned Angels series in Southern California.

The Under is 4-0 the L4 Interleague Athletics games vs. a RHP starter and 5-0 in their L5 Interleague Road games but the Under is 10-2 the L12 Oakland games after a Loss, 11-3 its L14 against a RHP starter and 9-3 the L12 Game 1’s of A’s series, and with it being just another Manic Monday and a new series, perhaps Oakland has some trouble scoring Runs here on Monday night like after suddenly coming alive against lowly Anaheim.

On another note, with San Francisco likely the only NL team that can stop the Cubs (31/10 to win World Series, at Bet365) and Manager Joe Maddon from getting to the World Series, backing the Giants at a current market high of 8/1 (PaddyPower) while it’s still around is advised as not only can San Francisco Win the World Series this year—the Giants have won the World Series in 2010, 2012 and 2014)—this Futures Bet will possibly enable its buyer some Hedging capabilities against Jake Arrieta and Chicago in a theoretical NLCS. And as it always seems, Pitching, both starting, middle relief and the staff closers, will likely be the key.

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Predicted Final Score: Giants 6 Athletics 3
Free MLB Pick: Giants -165
Best Line Offered: at TheGreek

Get a headstart on tomorrow's action: MLB Overnight Lines Betting Preview For Tuesday

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