MLB Free Pick: Yankees Advance With Wild Card Win Over Twins

Yankees pitcher Luis Severino with teammate

Willie Bee

Tuesday, October 3, 2017 12:21 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 3, 2017 12:21 PM UTC

Big market vs. small market is the backdrop for tonight’s AL Wild Card Game in New York where the Yankees are substantial favorites on the MLB odds against the Twins.

Season: 83-85-4 (+1.63)

A team that lost 103 game last season shouldn’t even be in the playoffs, and it most certainly shouldn’t be able to compete with a franchise that owns 27 World Series titles, right? Oddsmakers seem to think so for tonight’s AL Wild Card Game in New York between the Yankees and Minnesota Twins.

Bookmaker has the Evil Empire -245 chalk for the contest that finds Ervin Santana (16-8, 3.28) pitching for Minnesota against New York’s Luis Severino (14-6, 2.98). Tuesday’s total is 7½, at least a full run lower than any of the closing numbers for their regular season matchups, the Twins and Yankees playing 1-5 O/U in those half-dozen tilts.


Twins Seeing Severino For Just The 2nd Time

The Yankees won four of those six pairings, including all three in New York about two weeks ago when Santana suffered a tough-luck defeat. Labled as a +155 underdog on the MLB odds, the veteran worked into the sixth and allowed both NY scores in the 2-1 setback, one of those runs a 1st-inning jack by Aaron Judge. Santana’s only playoff experience in this park came in 2009 while he was with the Angels, both appearances from the bullpen, and he’s 1-6 with a 6.88 ERA in seven career starts here.

Severino started the finale of that September set, his only career experience against Minnesota, but only lasted three innings having surrendered three runs and burning through 71 pitches of New York’s eventual 11-3 triumph as a prohibitive -300 favorite. He was a better pitcher away from home with a 2.24 ERA compared to 3.71 at Yankee Stadium, but the pinstripes still managed to win in the Bronx with an 11-5 record in his 16 Bronx battles.

Umpire Notes, Mother Nature & A Free Pick

Mike Winters chiefs the crew for this game, but he will be at first base while Alfonso Marquez calls balls and strikes. Marquez stood 14-11-2 O/U/P during the regular season, closing with a strong ‘under’ tendency as seven of his final nine plate assignments failed to reach the totals. The 19-year veteran is working his 14th playoff series, having the dish in Game 5 of last year’s NLCS, an ‘over’ winner in LA between the Dodgers and Cubs.

Clear skies, temps in the low-to-mid 60s and a light SE breeze drifting in from right is tonight’s forecast. With New York 21-9 against Minnesota in this building since it opened in ’09, and having won 8-of-9 recent collisions, my free baseball pick is a run line play.

Free MLB Pick: Yankees -1½ (-110)Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3330453, "sportsbooksIds":[93,1096,19,1275,169], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

comment here