MLB Daily Pitching Report for Friday 9/12

Ross Benjamin

Friday, September 12, 2014 2:17 PM UTC

Friday, Sep. 12, 2014 2:17 PM UTC

Our MLB betting odds expert examines a couple of evenly matched starting pitching matchups in the National League tonight. Find out who gets his pitching edges in the games between the Marlins/Phillies and Dodgers/Giants.

Marlins vs. Phillies 7:05 ET
The Marlins send their ace Henderson Alvarez to the mound this evening. Alvarez returns to the rotation after missing his last start with an oblique injury. It was a much needed rest for the Marlins hurler. He was in uncharacteristic bad form during his previous 3-starts, posting a 7.37 ERA, and a 1.57 WHIP. The young right-hander has gone an outstanding 18-8 against the money this season with a stellar 2.88 ERA, and that includes 15-3 in his last 18-starts. However, what’s concerning is his home and away splits. He’s 11-2 versus the money at home with an excellent 1.75 ERA, and just 7-6 on the road with a less impressive 4.09 ERA. Since the start of the 2013 season Alvarez has a very good 2.14 ERA in 5-starts versus the Phillies.

Despite having an average looking 13-13 record against the MLB odds money line this season, the veteran Phillies southpaw has a shining 2.56 ERA, and has gone 12-6 over his last 18. He enters tonight in good form over his last 3-starts by posting a 2.79 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Hamels has struggled to win versus the Marlins since the start of the 2013 season, going 2-6 against the money, including a lofty 4.76 ERA in 3-starts versus Miami in 2014.

Advantage: This pitching matchup is a very tough call for a variety of reasons. It comes down to each pitcher’s performance line during the past 2-seasons versus tonight’s opponents. When selecting your MLB picks note that I’m going to give the slightest of leans to Henderson Alvarez of the Marlins over Cole Hamels of the Phillies.

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Dodgers vs. Giants 10:15 ET
The Dodgers will send southpaw Hyun-Jin Ryu to the mound for the opening game of this critical NL West series. Ryu has gone an outstanding 10-4 against the money on the road in 2014 with a superb 2.65 ERA. Ryu enters tonight having gone 3-1 versus the money in his last 4-starts with a sparkling 2.05 ERA. He’s been nowhere as dominant versus the Giants in 3-starts this season, evidenced by a lofty 5.40 ERA, and 1.53 WHIP in those outing

The Giants go with a southpaw of their own as Madison Bumgarner will take the hill tonight. Bumgarner had some difficulty at home for much of this season, and has been lights out on the road. However, in his last 3 at home he’s posted a brilliant 0.82 ERA, a 0.50 WHIP, and struck out 29 while walking just 1. He’s also 3-0 against the money in his last 3 overall, posting a terrific 1.71 ERA, while striking out 20, and walking only 1.

Advantage: If the Giants are going to catch the Dodgers in the National League West, it’s imperative that they win at least 2 of 3 in this series, and the opening game will be pivotal in determining whether they can accomplish, or exceed that goal. I know that Ryu has been solid on the road this season, but Madison Bumgarner seems to be pitching at a whole different level right now. My small betting edge goes to Bumgarner over Ryu.

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