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MLB Daily Picks: Totals and Moneyline Picks for Saturday

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MLB Daily Picks: Totals and Moneyline Picks for Saturday
Zack Greinke - Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images/AFP

Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels

Saturday, August 1, 2020 – 7:10pm EST

Probable Pitchers

  • Houston: Zack Greinke (0-0 8.10 ERA)
  • Los Angeles Angels: Griffin Canning (0-1 5.79 ERA)

The Astros are now 4-3 on the season facing an Angels team that is 2-6 and without Mike Trout due to his first baby due in the near future. The MLB's best player is on paternity list. The Angels might be in trouble.

The Astros will pitch Zack Greinke who went 18-5 last season with a 2.93 ERA and a 3.22 FIP. He struggled in his first start against the Mariners, allowing three hits and three runs in 3.1 innings against the Mariners. He also had just two strikeouts and two walks in that game.

One thing of note was the Greinke was better on the road last season with a 2.64 ERA and a 10-4 record in 18 games. On the road, he held batters to a .211 OBA. Greinke also held batters to .91 homers per nine innings last season and walked just 1.29 batters per nine innings.

He'll go up against the young right-hander in Griffin Canning. Canning went 4.2 innings in his last start and allowed four hits and three runs including a homer against the A's. He also struck out seven and walked two. Canning performed better at home last season with an ERA of 4.12 and a 4-2 record in 11 games played at home. Batters hit .228 against Canning.

However, righties hit Canning with a .263 batting average, along with an OBP of .16 and a slugging percentage of .458. The Astros have a deep right-handed lineup including George Springer, Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman, Yuli Gurriel, Carlos Correa, and Josh Reddick. And then there's Michael Brantley, the lefty, who has a hit in seven straight games.

Prediction

The Angels are short-handed while the Astros have so much depth, especially in this game against Canning, who struggles a little more against righties, as a right-handed pitcher. The juice is a little higher than you'd expect from me but I love this match-up for the Astros at -154 with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Astros-154
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Julio Urias Los Angeles Dodgers
Julio Urias - Photo by Harry How/Getty Images/AFP

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Saturday, August 1, 2020 – 8:10pm EST

Probable Pitchers

  • Los Angeles: Julio Urias (0-0 1.80 ERA)
  • Arizona: Luke Weaver (0-1 16.20 ERA)

The Dodgers are coming off a 5-3 loss to the Diamondbacks on the road in the first game of the series. They’ll look to get back on track with Julio Urias on the mound, who was terrific on the road last season.

Urias went five innings in his first start of the season, allowing five hits and one run while striking out three and walking three. He had an ERA of .186 on the road last season in 18 games, although Urias only started three of those games. He still held opponents to a batting average of .157.

He held righties to .203 while lefties hit just .198. Urias has pure stuff when he’s on the mound.

He’ll go up against Arizona’s Luke Weaver, who is coming off a brutal start to the 2020 season. Weaver allowed seven hits and six runs in 3.1 innings pitched in his first start of the season. He still had six strikeouts and two walks on 79 pitches. Last season, Weaver went 0-2 at home in five games started but opponents only hit .239 against him in those games.

It’s safe to say Weaver was solid last season but his recent start is very concerning. 

Prediction

The Dodgers are coming off a loss after a comeback win from the Diamondbacks. The Dodgers are one of the better teams in baseball. They’re supposed to be World Series contenders. Therefore, with Urias on the mound, the Dodgers should be in solid position to get the win on Saturday and the MLB odds aren't too juicy!

Dodgers-142
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Oakland Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners

Saturday, August 1, 2020 – 9:10pm EST

Probable Pitchers

  • Oakland: Mike Fiers (0-0 9.00 ERA)
  • Seattle: Yusei Kikuchi (0-0 12.27 ERA)

The Seattle Mariners have been upset city recently but the Oakland A’s might be able to put an end to that.

Mike Fiers will take the hill for the Athletics after pitching four innings and allowing seven hits and four earned runs against the Angels. He didn’t strike out one or walk one either.

Last season, on the road, Fliers allowed an ERA of 5.14 but still went 6-2 in 16 games started. He allowed a .273 OBA in those games. Lefties hit .248 against Fiers last season while righties hit .239 last season. 19 homers came from the right side.

Something Fiers did well was that he left 78.50 percent of runners on base last season but, again, his strikeouts were low, meaning more balls in play. When there were runners on base, he was able to get out of trouble. Still, the low strikeout numbers are concerning as he had a FIP of 4.97 last season. Fiers quietly went 15-4 last season with a 3.90 ERA.

Yusei Kikuchi will take the mound of the Mariners. Kikuchi went 6-11 last season with a 5.46 ERA and a 5.71 FIP.

At home, Kikuchi had an ERA of 5.73 and went 2-8 in 15 games started, allowing an opponent batting average of .299. At night, things got worse. He had an ERA of 5.78 with a record of 2-9 and an opponent batting average of .305.

Righties also hit .304 against Kikuchi.

Prediction

Fiers gets in and out of trouble all of the time in his starts. Somehow, he finds ways to win ball games even when allowing very many hits and striking very few out.

This game has an over vibe to it but after the A’s dropped the first game to the Mariners, I’d rather look at that A’s team total against the Mariners and Kikuchi.

Fiers could blow up against the Mariners. But he also might limit damage randomly. The MLB betting lines are a little behind with these odds.

A's Over 4.5-140
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