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MLB Daily Picks and Predictions for September 16th

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MLB Daily Picks and Predictions for September 16th

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

Wednesday, September 16, 2020 – 7:05 PM EST at Yankee Stadium

Probable Pitchers

  • Blue Jays: Tanner Roark (2-1 5.60 ERA)
  • Yankees: Gerrit Cole (5-3 3.20 ERA)

The Yankees scored plenty of runs in Tuesday’s game against the Blue Jays. Now they’ll get to go up against Tanner Roark, who doesn't have the best numbers. Check out my daily MLB pick on this one.

Tanner Roark

Roark is 2-1 in eight starts with a 5.6 ERA and a 6.82 fielding independent pitching (FIP). He’s allowing 4.84 walks per nine innings and allowing 2.55 home runs per nine innings. How do you think that will fare in Yankee Stadium?

Tanner Roark is coming off a start at home in Buffalo, against the Yankees. He went four innings, with two hits and two runs, which were solo home runs. Roark also walked three and struck out three. He has allowed multiple runs in six of his last seven starts and hasn’t gone deeper than five innings in any start. In Roark’s last start, the Yankees found a way to score seven runs against the Blue Jays and won the game 7-2.

On the road, Roark has a 5.24 ERA and is allowing an opponent batting average of .311, with 19 strikeouts and 10 walks along with five home runs. On the season, he allowed 10 home runs in 35.1 innings, with six coming from the right side, and four coming from the left side. Righties are currently smacking Roark with a .391 batting average and 16 extra-base hits of the 27 hits they’ve hit off Roark.

Gerrit Cole #45 of the New York Yankees throws a pitch. Photo by Mitchell Layton/Getty Images/AFP

Gerrit Cole

On the flip side, Gerrit Cole will take the hill for the Yankees. Cole hasn’t been exactly what the Yankees hoped for when they signed up to a long contract in the off-season. However, he’s shown glimpses of stardom this season and could be onto something in this one.

Cole is 5-3 in 10 games this season. He’s got a 3.20 ERA and a 4.25 FIP. Cole’s getting a high amount of strikeouts and also limiting walks, but he's allowing nearly two home runs per nine innings this season. He has done a fantastic job keeping runners on base, holding 84.5 percent of base runners this season. Also, his batting average of balls in play is at .248 on the season, which is really good. You’d just wish his ground ball rate was a little higher.

Cole went seven innings against the Orioles in his last start in a double-header game. It was basically a complete-game shutout, with nine strikeouts and one walk. That’s the Gerrit Cole we’re used to seeing. Cole has struck out 19 batters in his last 13 innings and has allowed just one earned run. He also limited walks and allowed just one home run, after allowing seven home runs in the previous three games before facing the Orioles.

It’s time for Cole to prove he’s the ace and that he deserves the money he’s making. It’s tough moving to a new team, especially during 2020 with all of this chaos. But if the Yankees want to make a run at the World Series, they’re going to need Cole to be dominant.

Luke Voit #59 of the New York Yankees hits a home run. Photo by Sarah Stier/Getty Images/AFP

Prediction

Luke Voit has 18 home runs on the season. Before the season, all of the talks were about Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge. Luke Voit has been hitting missiles this season. Roark is getting smacked by righties this season for a .391 average and six home runs.

You can go down the last when it comes to runs on Tuesday night for the Yankees. They came easily. This team is starting to turn things around with some solid offense, especially knowing a couple of their premier bats will be returning soon.

I like the Yankees to score plenty of runs in this one against Roark and a short bullpen from the Blue Jays after they had five relievers pitch out of their bullpen on Tuesday. Each reliever allowed at least one earned run.

The same should go down against Roark and the Blue Jays bullpen. The Yankees just need five to cover and six to win. That seems like a small ask, on most of the top sports betting sites, after Tuesday’s 20 run explosion. The MLB odds didn’t adjust.

MLB Pick: Yankees Over 5.5 Team Total (-117) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

NYY Over 5-117
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