MLB Capper Predicts A Red Sox/Dodgers Low Scoring Game For Today

David Price

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, August 7, 2016 3:04 PM UTC

Sunday, Aug. 7, 2016 3:04 PM UTC

Our MLB betting expert breaks downs Sunday’s game between the Red Sox and Dodgers. Go inside to read this captivating betting article concluded with a MLB pick.

Note: All statistics posted in this article include games played on Friday 8/4/2016.

Boston Red Sox (Price) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (Hill)
Boston and Los Angeles will play the finale of their three games inter-league series on Sunday. Boston captured Friday’s opening game of the series by a score of 9-0. Current (8/6/4:00 PM ET) MLB betting odds shows both teams at -105 on the money line, and a posted total of 7.0.

Heading into Saturday’s action, Boston held the final American League wild card spot and had a narrow half game lead over Detroit. The Red Sox are also third in the AL East standings, trailing first place Toronto and Baltimore by 2.0 games. Boston has gone a respectable 26-23 (.531) during away games at this juncture of the season.

Despite their loss on Friday, Los Angles still was only 2.0 games behind slumping NL West leader San Francisco. They also held down the top National League wild card position, holding a 2.0 game lead over both St. Louis and Miami. The Dodgers have gone a stellar 33-21 (.611) at home thus far in 2016.


Starting Pitchers
By his standards, David Price has endured a somewhat disappointing 2016 campaign up until now. It’s been even more frustrating for the veteran southpaw hurler since it comes in his first season pitching for Boston. Price has posted a 4.30 ERA over twenty-three starts this year. Nevertheless, he still has put up some impressive power pitching numbers, striking 156 batters in 150 1/3 innings pitched. That’s certainly a noteworthy statistic, especially considering he’ll be facing a Dodgers team that averages striking out 8.0 times per game. Price has exhibited somewhat good form over his last three starts, compiling a 1.36 WHIP over that course of time.

Rich Hill will make his debut start for the Dodgers. Hill was obtained from Oakland at the trade deadline last week. The left-hander was enjoying a very good year with Oakland prior to being sidelined on 7/17 with a blister on his throwing hand. On some positive notes, Hill has a terrific 2.25 ERA and 1.09 WHIP this year through fourteen starts. Hill was also in superb form through the period of his previous seven starts prior to his stint on the disabled list. That’s evidenced by his 2.05 ERA throughout that time span.


Final Numbers and Pick
After struggling for long stretches of time this season, Boston’s bullpen has been lights out of late. During its last seven games, Boston relievers have a microscopic 0.59 ERA. The Red Sox have been a potent offensive team this season. Nonetheless, they’ve fared far better against right-handed starting pitchers than southpaws, and their numbers clearly back that claim. Additionally, Boston is 11-2 under the total in their preceding thirteen away games. They’ve also struggled offensively of late, collecting just a .678 OPS through its last seven outings, and that’s in stark contrast to an overall .801 OPS in 2016.

The Dodgers are 37-17 (68.5%) under the total at home, including 12-2 under against southpaw starting pitchers, and 26-10 (72.2%) under when there’s a total of 7.0 or 7.5. Rich Hill has gone 56-26 (68.3%) under the total in his career MLB starts. The Dodgers have been a light hitting team at home this year, further proven by a poor .685 OPS when cast into that role.

This game has all the earmarks of a low scoring affair, and that’s the direction I’ll be taking when making one of my Sunday MLB picks.


Free MLB Pick: Under 7.0 (+100)
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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