MLB Bounce-Back Blowout Betting Value in Dodgers vs. Angels

Joe Gavazzi

Wednesday, August 6, 2014 5:15 PM UTC

Wednesday, Aug. 6, 2014 5:15 PM UTC

This matchup features the most resilient team in MLB this 2014 season.  Not only do they have the numbers to back it up, but they are also playing on a field where they have dominated opposition in recent months.

With diverse stats being a part of the pitching log of each starter, it is absolutely imperative that you join me for this Top Play winner on Wednesday, August 6th. After you read the stats involved, it will not be surprising that we are in blowout status after the early innings of this game. If you like bounce-back blowouts, this one should be on your list of MLB betting picks

LA Dodgers (Haren) at LA Angels (Shoemaker) (-145) 10:05 ET

MLB Pick: 10* LA Angels (-145)

The Angels got a split at Chavez Ravine in the first two games of this split venue series. That’s not bad, considering the Angels were facing Greinke and Kershaw. Now, they return home after a narrow 5-4 defeat last night. Look for the bounce back from the most resilient team in baseball. The LA Dodgers began their uptick at virtually the same time as last season, when they ran off a blistering 42-8 streak last summer. 

Though the recent 29-17 run is nothing to scoff at, it appears there will be no magic as in last season’s 50-game winning streak. Nonetheless, courtesy of the fading San Fran Giants, the Dodgers have ascended to a 2 ½ game division lead. The Angels are playing even better ball, yet still trail Oakland by 2 games in the AL West. That leaves them very hungry in the role of hunter. Despite last night’s loss, the Angels remain on runs of 51-29, 36-16, and 29-12. Of even greater importance is that their 31-13 record following a defeat is the best in MLB. And, one simply cannot ignore that LAA has gone 24-5 on this field of late, boosting their home field record to 38-19. The current form and home/road dichotomy of the starting pitchers, seals the deal! 

Interesting take on the 'Under' betting value in this game

Falling to the No. 5 spot in the rotation, Haren has a 4.76 ERA for the season. A large part of that can be attributed to his most recent 5 starts. Over that time, the record is 0-5 with Haren allowing 27 runs on 36 hits in 23 1/3 IP. There will be little confidence with either those recent starts in mind or the knowledge of his record on the road. For in 12 road starts, over 66 2/3 IP, Haren has a 5.40 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, and .296BAA. That is in direct contrast to the current form and home field records of Shoemaker, who checks in with a 78/15 KBB for the season.

Remember, that earlier research proved that any starter with a greater than 5 to 1 KBB, had an outstanding chance at victory. Ergo the 9-3 TRGS of Shoemaker. In 5 recent starts by Shoemaker, the Angels are 4-1. He has allowed just 11 runs on 28 hits in 27 1/3 IP with an outstanding 25/3 KBB. The best work by Shoemaker has been done from this mound this season, where in 50 2/3 IP, he has spun a 2.84 ERA. As you can see by the above analysis, everything fits, launching this to best bet status.

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