MLB Betting: World Series Odds Update

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Joe Catalano

Thursday, October 27, 2016 9:02 PM UTC

Thursday, Oct. 27, 2016 9:02 PM UTC

After a 5-1 Chicago Cubs victory in game 2, the World Series shifts back to Wrigley Field for games 3, 4, and 5 in this 2-3-2 format. After winning game 2, the Cubs become a significant betting favorite for this series at -225. Is there any value in this series on either side? Let's take a look.



A Must Win Situation?

The Chicago Cubs, the team with the best record in the MLB Regular Season and the team that was the odds-on favorite at the beginning of the season to win the World Series, have evened up this series at 1-1. Game 2 was a huge game as the thought of coming back from 2-0 in a 2-3-2 format appeared like an unenviable task, but the Cubs put that to rest and are basically in the driver's seat despite the series being knotted up at 1-1 as the Cubs have now gained home field advantage.

Chicago hasn't won a World Series in over 100 years and that "curse" is still in effect, but the Cubs already broke the drought of making it to the World Series this season and it appears that they might break both curses in one season. The Cubs hadn't been to a World Series since 1945. 


An Overview of the Starting Pitching

One of the reasons why Chicago is in this spot is their exceptional starting pitching. They have the perfect balance of a great pitching staff and great hitters such as Kris Bryant and Anthony Rizzo to make them a top-rated contender.

The Cubs are set up quite nicely as they have Kyle Hendricks in game 3 of this series and he's had a breakout, dominant year. For the season, Hendricks was 16-8 with a 2.13 ERA and he's carried it over to the post-season where he's boasted a 1.65 ERA. The Cubs clearly have the advantage in game 3 and they'll need it as game 4 will be their toughest matchup as Corey Kluber faces the veteran, John Lackey.

This is a game that either team can win, but how can anyone deny the excellence of Kluber in the post-season? He's already beaten the Cubs in a 6-0 game 1 in which he went 6 innings and allowed 4 hits while striking out 9 batters. The Indians certainly want to get Kluber in this series as often as they can just like the Dodgers attempted to implement Clayton Kershaw in their series with the Cubs. This is one of the key games in this series because if the Cubs beat Kluber, the baseball odds of winning this series and the actual edge are clearly in their favor. Those odds can always be checked in all of the different sportsbooks.


The "X-Factor"

I'm referring to Jon Lester, who has been dominant all season long and the ace of the Cubs pitching staff despite possessing Jake Arrieta, who was the NL Cy Young Award Winner last season and also the winning pitcher in yesterday's game.

Before game 1, people would've thought that Lester was the biggest strength in the Chicago pitching staff, but he was somewhat disappointing from a Chicago Cubs standpoint as he lost game 1 to Corey Kluber and the Tribe. Lester allowed 3 runs on 6 hits in 5 2/3 innings and was beaten 6-0. I expect him to pitch well in game 5 as this series could once again be tied and after game 5, the series should switch back to Cleveland. Game 5 will be a pivotal game and I could see the Cubs offense break out on Sunday.

 Added Depth

Kyle Schwarber is probably getting more press than he should as he's only had 4 regular season at-bats due to injury. Schwarber has fared well in the World Series thus far as he's 3 for 7 with a double and 2 RBI's. He adds depth to an already deep Chicago offense, which features the leading candidate for the NL MVP Award in Kris Bryant. Bryant is hitting .298 with 5 doubles, 1 HR and 6 RBI's in the post-season. He's definitely a guy that the Cubs want up in a big spot and Cleveland has proven that they're for real as they swept the Boston Red Sox in the ALDS. I, personally give the Chicago Cubs the edge as the betting odds indicate, but they're going to have to work hard to break "the curse" and be everyone's MLB pick.


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