MLB Betting - World Series Game 6 Betting Preview - Cubs vs Indians

Jake Arrieta Fist Bumping

Willie Bee

Tuesday, November 1, 2016 1:13 PM UTC

Tuesday, Nov. 1, 2016 1:13 PM UTC

We're back in Cleveland for Game 6 of the World Series, and we're back with a free baseball pick with the Chicago Cubs favored to beat the Indians.

Season: 48-47 (+3.65) Postseason: 5-7 (-2.10)

Pushed to the brink of elimination down 3-1 in the World Series, the Chicago Cubs came up with a victory to push the set back to Cleveland where they'll now try to push the Indians to a seventh and deciding game in this year's Fall Classic.

Game 6 is set for a first pitch a few minutes after 8 PM (ET) with what promises to be a raucous pro-Tribe crowd at Progressive Field. Chicago sends Jake Arrieta to the mound looking for his second Series win, Cleveland opting for Josh Tomlin.

The early-bird Moneyline at BetOnline had the Cubs at -148, that price moving above and below that line before settling back on the original -148. A 7 run total initially was calculated on a -125 for the 'over,' and after some movement towards the 'under' is back at -125 juice.

 How Long Will Tomlin Stay On Mound?

The left arms belonging to Jon Lester and Aroldis Chapman propelled Chicago to a 3-2 win in Game 5 to keep the Series alive. Lester recorded the first 18 outs with Chapman getting the final eight, and Kris Bryant ignited a 3-run Cubs fourth with a home run, the Cubs cashing as pronounced -220 favorites on the MLB odds.

Arrieta and Tomlin have each already pitched well enough to help their respective teams to victory in the Series. Arrieta started Game 2 in Cleveland, pitching into the sixth and allowing just a run on two hits as the Cubs breezed to a 5-1 triumph. The effort came after Chicago dropped his two previous playoff starts and the 2015 NL Cy Young winner will be pitching on his usual rest.

Tomlin nearly made it through the fifth in Friday's first game at Wrigley, and would've very likely gone longer than that in a regular season game since he was only at 58 pitches when Terry Francona turned it over to the Cleveland bullpen in a 1-0 decision. It was the third playoff win for the Indians behind the Texas native who is pitching on 3-fays rest.

 Umpire Notes, Mother Nature & A Free Pick

In addition to his usual arrogance and quick thumb at times, Joe West will be calling balls and strikes for the first time in over a month, last working the plate on September 25. That's probably not a big issue for someone who has been behind the dish more than 1,270 times in his 39-year career, 20 of those in the postseason and tonight marking West's fifth World Series game under the mask. Still, it's something to watch early on. He was 15-17 O/U vs. the baseball odds in the regular season, his lone appearance at Progressive going 'over.' Road favorites went 8-9 with home teams 20-12 overall.

Rain should stay away from tonight's contest when partly cloudy skies and a first pitch temp of 70º is in the forecast. The weatherman is also calling for a 10-12 mph southerly breeze (out to left).

Chicago hitters were still overanxious in Game 5, but I believe they'll get it going tonight with Arrieta stoked to send this to a Game 7. My free baseball pick will be on the run line.

Free MLB Pick: Cubs -1½ Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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