MLB Betting: Thursday's Baseball Picks of the Day

Joe Catalano

Thursday, July 11, 2013 1:45 PM UTC

Thursday, Jul. 11, 2013 1:45 PM UTC

Coming off of another 2-0 day, the momentum has really swung in this handicapper’s direction. Let’s go in for the kill with our MLB Picks of the Day for Thursday.

Included in the 2-0 day was a +145 run line with the Yankees as they destroyed the Royals 8-1. Let’s see where we can make some coin with our Thursday MLB picks!

For more MLB betting info, don't forget to read our Daily Baseball Odds & Betting Lines Report!

This is a good pitching matchup in Philly as Jordan Zimmerman (12-3, 2.57) takes the mound for the Nats and he’ll be opposed by a very underrated Kyle Kendrick (7-6, 3.90) for the Fightin' Phils.

Homer Happy

Washington is coming off of a much needed 5-1 victory over the Phillies in which they hit 2 home runs in the 5th inning and 2 dingers in the 6th (all solo shots) to secure the victory.

Although Kendrick has pitched well this season, he’s coming off of rotten performance in which he allowed 6 runs and 12 hits in 5 innings against Atlanta.

In his last 2 starts, Kendrick has allowed a whopping 22 hits in 11 innings pitched. Could we possibly see the long ball as a re-occurring theme in tonight’s game?

“Werth” the Money

Jayson Werth gets to face his old team and he’s been a much improved player as of late. He’s moved his average up to .294 with 10 HR and 31 RBI. Werth is on a 7 game hitting streak in which he’s hit 12 for 22 with 2 HR and 5 RBI. He’s also hit a home run in each of his last two games against his former team. Werth hasn’t had much success against Kendrick, but this is his best run as a National.

Washington isn’t a hard-hitting team, but Jordan Zimmerman has gotten lucky where run support is concerned. He’s put up a couple of average outings, but the Nats have basically covered him and this partially has made his 12-3 record seem a bit more appealing than it actually is.

Coming into this game, Zimmerman has a slight edge over Kendrick in the pitching department.

Washington is a moderate -137 MLB odds favorite in this game. Kendrick has been hit hard as of late and I’m going to lean in the Nats direction.


MLB Pick: Take Washington -138 at Bet365

Don't forget to also check out today's Daily Pitching Report!

San Francisco Giants (40-50) at San Diego (41-51)

San Fran’s Demise

The San Francisco Giants have been dominant in the National League West Division, but this year has been a complete “360”.

After a 7-2 defeat at the hands of the Mets, the Giants are hitting near bottom. This is a team that’s always been a weak hitting team, but the pitching has made up for it. Without good pitching, this team’s ship has sunk.

Bumgarner To the Rescue

The Giants send Madison Bumgarner (9-5, 3.05) to the mound and Bumgarner has been a very reliable starting pitcher. All of his last 5 starts have been considered quality starts with him giving up 8 runs in 35 innings. Bumgarner will give the Giants 7 solid innings and the rest is up to the offense.

So far, the Giants offense has done just enough for Bumgarner to pull out these wins. I consider him a “2nd tier” pitcher.

Bumgarner will be facing Jason Marquis, who has somewhat of a similar record to that of Bumgarner, but he’s nowhere near a “2nd tier pitcher”. That said, Marquis carries a career 2.93 ERA in 15 starts against the Giants.

The Giants have lost 4 straight, 8 out of their last 10, and are 15-30 on the road.

Buster Posey (.316, 13 HR, 50 RBI)has basically carried this team and they need contributions from players like Pablo Sandoval. Sandoval’s average has dropped dramatically this season to a mere .259. That said, he’s a lifetime 8 for 20 off of Jason Marquis with 2 HR and 6 RBI.

My gut is talking again and the betting total is very low at 7 runs. Take the OVER in this spot for your sports picks.


MLB Pick: Bet Giants/Padres game to go OVER 7 -115 at William Hill

Good luck, everyone! 

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