MLB Betting: Three Red Hot Money Line Underdog Picks

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, May 21, 2016 12:00 PM UTC

Saturday, May. 21, 2016 12:00 PM UTC

Our MLB handicapping professional has gone a remarkable 18-7 (72%) with his last 25 MLB underdog picks. He has three more underdog betting values on Saturday.

Colorado (Chatwood) vs. Pittsburgh (Niese)
Colorado starter Tyler Chatwood has been lights out on the road thus far. He’s gone 4-0 in those outings with a microscopic 0.33 ERA. The Rockies are a stellar 10-5 in day games thus far. They’ve also held serve on the road by going 12-11 in that role.

Contrarily, Jonathan Niese enters today in poor form based on his previous three starts. During those outings, Niese posted a lofty 1.64 ERA and 1.64 WHIP. The Pirates southpaw has also allowed an alarming 11 home runs in just 46.0 innings pitched this season. Since 2015, Niese has made three starts versus Colorado, and he posted a large 7.28 ERA and 1.79 WHIP during those outings.

I like the road underdog betting value in this matchup, and one of my Saturday MLB picks will indicate that.

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Free MLB Pick:  Colorado +120
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker


Cleveland (Bauer) vs. Boston (Kelly)
By virtue of last night’s 4-2 win at Fenway Park, Cleveland has now won five straight. The Indians bullpen have produced plenty of offensive production of late by averaging 7.3 runs per outing during its previous seven games, and also compiling an impressive .827 OPS. Cleveland has gone a respectable 11-9 on the road so far in 2016.

Trevor Bauer will be on the mound for Cleveland on Saturday. The right-handed hurler has been in very good form over his last three starts, evidenced by his shiny 2.79 ERA and superb 0.93 WHIP during those outings.

Joe Kelly will make his fourth start of the season for Boston on Saturday, and his first since 4/19. Kelly displayed horrible form during his first three starts, posting a large 9.34 ERA and massive 2.77 WHIP. Boston has gone an outstanding 20-9 in night games this season, but they’re a dismal 5-8 during matinee outings.

Current MLB odds provide me with a best price for this money line wager.

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Free MLB Pick:  Cleveland +120
Best Line Offered: at Intertops


Seattle (Hernandez) vs. Cincinnati (Lamb)
As a result of their 8-3 loss last night to Seattle, Cincinnati has gone a futile 6-24 in night games this season. However, the Reds have gone a superb 9-3 during day games thus far. With no pun intended, they’ve been night and day in terms of those splits. Those results may seem purely coincidental to some, but there’s some viable credence in my eyes, and something I can’t ignore when handicapping this matchup. The Reds have also hit an impressive 34 home runs in their first 25 home games.

John Lamb will take the mound for Cincinnati today, and he’s been rock solid in two home starts, posting a sparkling 1.80 ERA in addition to a 1.20 WHIP.

Felix Hernandez makes the start for Seattle on Saturday. “King Felix” hasn’t been his usually dominating self to begin 2016. As a matter of fact, he’s compiled a sizable 1.50 WHIP during three road starts.

Current MLB betting odds at Bet365 indicates that Seattle is a large -175 money line favorite. You may be surprised to know, the Mariners are a dismal 0-5 so far in 2016 as a money line favorite of -150 or greater.

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Free MLB Pick:  Cincinnati +155
Best Line Offered: at YouWager

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