The 2016 MLB season starts Sunday, so the LT Profits Group are wrapping up their profiles of every team to help with your MLB picks. Their final team profiled is the Texas Rangers.
The 2016 MLB season has arrived as it kicks off with three games on Sunday, followed by the rest of the league beginning play Monday. Thus we have reached the last of our profiles of all 30 Major League teams in an attempt to assist with your MLB picks before opening day, so we now wrap things up with the Texas Rangers, who finished in first place in the American League West in 2015 at 88-74 before losing to Toronto in the ALDS.
First of all, here is a summary of the Texas betting statistics for the 2015 season. Note that these stats are always for regular season games only and that the units won or lost are based on betting one unit every game, with those units and Over/Under records based on the closing lines from Pinnacle.
Texas Rangers 2015 Betting Stats
The Rangers went “worst to first” last season after finishing dead last in the AL West with 95 losses when they were injury depleted two years ago. Texas was healthier last season and it showed with a scintillating late-season surge to overtake both the Houston Astros and the Los Angeles Angels for the division title. The Rangers were also the best team in baseball to bet on in 2015 with their +29.55 units gained topping the MLB Money Line Standings. Now we move on to the Rangers’ statistical summary for the 2015 season.
2015 Texas Rangers Team Statistics
|Runs per Game||4.64||3rd|
It is obvious that the Rangers run was keyed by offense last season as this is a team that simultaneously hit for power and had a high OPS while still maintaining a batting average that ranked in the top 10 in the majors. Unfortunately the pitching lagged behind even after acquiring ace Cole Hamels at the trading deadline as he was slow to adjust to pitching in the American League, and that suspect pitching was the Texas downfall in the playoffs.
2016 Texas Rangers World Series Futures
The Rangers seem to be getting respect this year with these moderate World Series odds and they are the consensus second choice to win the AL West behind their Texas rivals from Houston. Also, when the first 2016 MLB season win totals were released, it was actually the Rangers that had the highest posted win total in the division at 86, one-half game more than the Astros at 85½!
2016 Texas Rangers Batting Forecast
The Rangers return virtually their entire starting lineup this season, which is not surprising considering that their hands were tied from making any major moves this off-season due to having about $88 million tied up in the quartet of Elvis Andrus, Shin-Soo Choo, Prince Fielder, and Josh Hamilton. Then again, based on the performance of last season, was any offensive tinkering really necessary?
Also note that foursome does not include Adrian Beltre, who even at the age of 37 has the highest forecasted WAR among all Texas batters this season at 3.6 according to the ZiPS projections. Also keep an eye on young Rougned Odor, a second baseman with good pop in his bat capable of around 20 homers and 80 RBI.
2016 Texas Rangers Pitching Forecast
The pitching could be a bit better this year with Yu Darvish expected back around May. Hamels is expected to return to normal with a forecasted WAR of 3.7 while Darvish is second on the team in predicted WAR at 2.9 with some definite upside if he is all the way back. Unfortunately Texas still lacks quality depth in the rotation behind that duo.
The bullpen continues to be a work-in-progress and the Rangers really have no set closer right now. Shawn Tolleson might get the most save chances for the time being, but guys like Sam Dyson, Keone Kela and Jake Diekman could all get opportunities as well depending on matchups.