Trouble against the Red Birds
Washington had its four-game winning streak snapped Thursday afternoon, as it dropped a 7-1 decision to the San Francisco Giants as +137 road underdogs, while going OVER the betting total for the third time in four contests.
The Nationals will have a hard time getting back in the win column in this spot, considering they’ve gone 4-12 in their last 16 games versus the Cardinals—hitting .195 and averaging just 2.31 runs per game over that span. MLB handicappers will find that the club is 6-2 on the road with a money line of -100 to -125, with the OVER going 5-3 in that situation.
St. Louis went 4-3 on its recently completed seven-game road trip, but it suffered a 6-3 defeat to the Tampa Bay Rays to close things out as -118 favorites Wednesday, while the UNDER went 5-1-1 in that span.
The Cardinals are hoping to welcome back first baseman Matt Adams, who has been on the disabled list with a strained left calf since May 28. He’s batting .325 this season and has a .391 career average versus the Nationals. Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise is a mediocre 21-21 at home with a money line of -100 to -125.
Nationals starting pitcher Jordan Zimmermann (5-2, 3.17 ERA) has tossed 17 shutout innings in his last two efforts—issuing just a single walk and registering 16 strikeouts over that period of time.
The right-hander is 3-1 with a 2.91 ERA in five road appearances, with opposing hitters batting .241 against him (.295 at home). In seven lifetime outings versus the Cardinals, Zimmermann has gone 0-4 with a 7.03 ERA.
Cardinals starting pitcher Lance Lynn (6-4, 3.49 ERA) has been handed back-to-back losses, including a 3-1 setback on the road to the Toronto Blue Jays last Friday—allowing two runs and six hits over five frames.
The right-hander is 3-1 with a 3.96 ERA in six home games—not serving up a home run in 36.1 combined innings. Lynn has compiled a 2-0 record and 4.09 ERA in two career appearances in this series.
I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their MLB picks, as the OVER is 13-4 in the Cardinals’ 17 home games with a total of 7 or less during the 2014 campaign.
Pick: Over 7