The 2016 MLB season starts this weekend with three games Sunday, and the LT Profits Group continue to profile every team to help with your MLB picks. Next is the Seattle Mariners.
The 2016 MLB season is now here as opening day is this Sunday with three scheduled games, followed by the rest of the league beginning play on Monday. So we are still here providing daily profiles for all 30 MLB teams in advance of opening day in an attempt to assist with your MLB picks, and today we examine the Seattle Mariners, who finished in fourth place in the American League West in 2015 at 76-86.
To begin, here is a summary of the Seattle betting statistics for the 2015 season. Note that these stats are always for regular season games only and that the units won or lost are based on betting one unit every game, with those units and Over/Under records based on the closing lines from Pinnacle.
Seattle Mariners 2015 Betting Stats
The Mariners entered 2015 with high expectations, and we were among the “experts” that picked Seattle to go to the World Series before the season. Needless to say, we looked quite foolish when the Mariners finished 10 games under .500, inexplicably struggling to a 36-45 record at home at Safeco Field. In fact, the Mariners were actually profitable on the road gaining +1.81 units for their supporters, but those same bettors were buried backing Seattle at home. Next up, let us take a look at the Mariners’ statistical summary for the 2015 season.
2015 Seattle Mariners Team Statistics
|Runs per Game||4.05||21st|
The Mariners hit a lot of home runs last year mainly thanks to Nelson Cruz bashing 44 of them, but they did not perform well in any other area. Cruz was basically a one-man show offensively, Felix Hernandez had an un-King-like season as the staff ace with not much behind him in the rotation due to Hisashi Iwakuma missing much of the season, and the bullpen also struggled.
2016 Seattle Mariners World Series Futures
It may take some guts to consider the Mariners as darkhorses given how badly they performed vs. expectations last year, but lo and behold this 2016 Seattle club is capable of surprising and even winning the AL West! Both the starting pitching rotation and the bullpen are improved and have better depth, while the offense could also improve if Robinson Cano bounces back from a sub-par season to give the reliable bopper Cruz some support.
2016 Seattle Mariners Batting Forecast
Believe it or not, neither Cruz nor Cano is expected to lead the Mariners in WAR this season according to the ZiPS projections. That is not necessarily a bad thing though, as Cano is indeed projected to have a bounce-back campaign with a 3.9 WAR while Cruz projects to a solid 2.9 even with some regression. But the player ZiPS is particularly bullish on is Kyle Seager with a 4.2 WAR, expecting about 25 homers and 85 RBI from the third basemen.
The rest of the lineup has some new faces, which may not be a bad thing either considering how much the offense underwhelmed a year ago. Among those expected to contribute are Nori Aoki, Chris Iannetta, Adam Lind and Leonys Martin
2016 Seattle Mariners Pitching Forecast
Hernandez should go back to being King Felix again this year with a projected WAR of 4.8, and having Iwakuma for the full season as the second starter would be a huge help as his predicted WAR of 2.9 seems conservative. The Mariners also added some depth in Wade Miley and Nathan Kurns, and the rotation can get an added boost if the young and talented Taijuan Walker could gain some consistency.
The bullpen looks totally revamped after disappointing last year, and we think the new contingent led by Steve Cishek and Joaquin Benoit will out-perform the 2015 version. Cishek immediately takes over as the closer while Benoit will continue his specialized role with his former teams as an excellent set-up man.