MLB Betting: Runfest Expected in Tigers-White Sox Saturday Tilt

Jay Pryce

Saturday, June 3, 2017 3:23 PM UTC

Saturday, Jun. 3, 2017 3:23 PM UTC

Jordan Zimmermann and Miguel Gonzlaez duel for the second time in a week when the Tigers host the White Sox Satruday afternoon (4:10 p.m. ET). The game total is 10 runs at some sportsbooks. A hit parade is expected.

Chicago White Sox (24-29)

Since May 1, the White Sox are 11-19 SU. Only the Phillies (6-23) have fewer wins in this span. What’s the problem? Poor pitching. Although crossing the plate 4.83 times per game, the staff is allowing 5.03 runs in this stretch. Most of the damage is coming from the rotation. It has put in a quality effort just 10 times in the last 30 games. The bullpen is doing its part, however. It ranks in the top 10 in MLB in many key performance categories, including fourth in OPS allowed (.615) and fifth in ERA (3.12).

Miguel Gonzalez will get a chance to impress for manager Rick Renteria. The right-hander is 4-5 with a 4.43 ERA in 10 outings. He dueled with Detroit starter Jordan Zimmermann in his last outing on May 28, picking up the win in a 7-3 victory. Gonzalez gave up 3 earned runs on 6 hits in 7.2 innings. He did not issue a walk in the game for the first time all season.

The Sox are 4-5 all-time versus the Tigers when Gonzalez starts, losing 12 percent investment at +114 average odds. The matchup typically turns into a hit parade. The average score is 11.1 runs per game. The OVER is 7-2 with a 8.8 average total. Including his last outing, Gonzalez has managed to record only a pair of quality starts.


Detroit Tigers (26-28)

The Tigers walloped Derek Holland and the Sox 15-5 Friday night. It was the most runs scored against their AL Central rivals since crossing the plate 18 times in a 2011 blowout. Since 2004, the Tigers are 58-20 SU as home chalk following a 10-run performance or greater. They are 14-1 SU in this spot since 2014.

Jordan Zimmermann gets a chance to avenge his loss to Gonzalez five days ago. The veteran southpaw is battling with his game following an injury-riddled 2016 where he suffered with separate neck, groin, and shoulder issues. Zimmermann ranks in the bottom five of all qualifying MLB starters in ERA (6.47), FIP (6.64), and K/9 (5.50). The two-time All-Star has gifted four earned runs or more in seven of his 10 starts this season. He is 4-4 overall.

Since last year’s All-Star break, the Tigers allow 6.54 runs per game when Zimmermann takes the pill. He’s put in just two quality starts in 13 outings. Opponents have scored five or more runs in all but two contests. The average score is 11.7 runs


Final Analysis

Expect both starters to exit early in this one. The Tigers have played eight games this season with a total greater than 9 runs. The have combined with their opponents to score 5 runs or more in all but one through the first five innings. Oddsmakers opened this matchup with a 9.5 total, early adjustments raising it to 10 runs at some shops. Your best bet is to play OVER through the first five innings

Free MLB Pick: Over  5.5Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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